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Champions League
Referee: L Visser
Barcelona
T U S S S
5–1
Full-time
Plzen
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barcelona Plzen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,8
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
1,8
2,2
Conceded
0,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

76% Possession 24%
20 Shots 8
11 Shots on target 1
6 Blocked shots 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
10 Corners 1
1 Offside 3
5 Free kicks against 8
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Barcelona Plzen
4′
🟨 Luděk Pernica
1–0 F. Kessié
J. Koundé
13′
26′
ℹ️ Jhon Mosquera
VAR: Penalty cancelled
27′
🟨 Jhon Mosquera
2–0 R. Lewandowski
Sergi Roberto
34′
44′
J. Sýkora 2–1
V. Jemelka
Half-time 2–1
Piqué 🔁
↦ Sergi Roberto
46′
3–1 R. Lewandowski
O. Dembélé
48′
56′
🟨 Tomáš Chorý
62′
🟨 Václav Jemelka
Ferran Torres 🔁
↦ Ansu Fati
65′
66′
🔁 F. Bassey
↦ T. Chorý
4–1 R. Lewandowski
Ferran Torres
67′
5–1 Ferran Torres
O. Dembélé
71′
M. Depay 🔁
↦ O. Dembélé
75′
Gavi 🔁
↦ Pedri
75′
78′
🔁 A. Čermák
↦ A. Vlkanova
79′
🔁 E. Jirka
↦ J. Mosquera
79′
🔁 V. Pilař
↦ J. Sýkora
Pablo Torre 🔁
↦ F. Kessié
81′
86′
🔁 L. Holík
↦ V. Jemelka
Full-time 5–1

Line-ups

Barcelona

4-3-3
1 M. ter Stegen G
20 Sergi Roberto D
15 A. Christensen D
23 J. Koundé D
18 Jordi Alba D
19 F. Kessié M
21 F. de Jong M
8 Pedri M
7 O. Dembélé F
9 R. Lewandowski F
10 Ansu Fati F
Bench (12)
3 Piqué
11 Ferran Torres
14 M. Depay
30 Gavi
32 Pablo Torre
26 Iñaki Peña
22 Raphinha
4 R. Araujo
28 Alejandro Balde
24 Eric García
5 Sergio Busquets
36 Arnau Tenas

Coach: Xavi

Plzen

4-2-3-1
36 J. Staněk G
24 M. Havel D
2 L. Hejda D
4 L. Pernica D
21 V. Jemelka D
23 L. Kalvach M
20 P. Bucha M
7 J. Sýkora M
88 A. Vlkanova M
18 J. Mosquera M
15 T. Chorý F
Bench (9)
90 F. Bassey
25 A. Čermák
77 E. Jirka
6 V. Pilař
44 L. Holík
13 M. Tvrdoň
16 M. Jedlička
3 M. Tijani
99 M. N'Diaye

Coach: M. Bílek

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Visser · 132 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.