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Champions League
Referee: A Taylor
Porto
T S T U S
2–0
Full-time
Leverkusen
T U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Porto Leverkusen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,7
This season — Champions League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
3,5
1,5
Scored
0,5
1,0
Conceded
3,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
-2,5
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

41% Possession 59%
12 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 6
5 Blocked shots 1
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 2
1 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1

Match report

Porto Leverkusen
18′
ℹ️ Callum Hudson-Odoi
VAR: Goal cancelled
40′
🟨 Piero Hincapié
Mehdi Taremi ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
43′
43′
ℹ️ Piero Hincapié
VAR: Penalty confirmed
Half-time 0–0
Otávio 🔁
↦ Bruno Costa
46′
João Mário 🟨
50′
52′
🟨 Jeremie Frimpong
56′
🟨 Robert Andrich
Mateus Uribe 🟨
61′
Z. Sanusi 🔁
↦ Wendell
63′
Galeno 🔁
↦ João Mário
63′
1–0 Z. Sanusi ⚽
M. Taremi
69′
Toni Martínez 🔁
↦ Evanilson
71′
72′
🔁 K. Demirbay
↦ R. Andrich
72′
🔁 A. Adli
↦ A. Hložek
79′
🔁 N. Amiri
↦ C. Aránguiz
M. Grujić 🔁
↦ M. Uribe
83′
86′
🔁 T. Fosu-Mensah
↦ C. Hudson-Odoi
2–0 Galeno ⚽
M. Taremi
86′
88′
🟨 Jeremie Frimpong
88′
🟥 Jeremie Frimpong
David Carmo 🟨
91′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Porto

4-4-2
99 Diogo Costa G
23 João Mário D
3 Pepe D
4 David Carmo D
22 Wendell D
28 Bruno Costa M
46 S. Eustáquio M
8 M. Uribe M
11 Pepê Aquino M
30 Evanilson F
9 M. Taremi F
Bench (12)
25 Otávio
12 Z. Sanusi
13 Galeno
29 Toni Martínez
16 M. Grujić
87 Bernardo Folha
7 Gabriel Veron
20 André Franco
14 Cláudio Ramos
19 D. Namaso
17 Rodrigo Conceição
2 Fábio Cardoso

Coach: Sérgio Conceição

Leverkusen

4-2-3-1
1 L. Hrádecký G
30 J. Frimpong D
4 J. Tah D
12 E. Tapsoba D
3 P. Hincapié D
8 R. Andrich M
20 C. Aránguiz M
19 M. Diaby M
23 A. Hložek M
17 C. Hudson-Odoi M
14 P. Schick F
Bench (10)
10 K. Demirbay
21 A. Adli
11 N. Amiri
24 T. Fosu-Mensah
6 O. Kossounou
9 S. Azmoun
40 A. Lunev
36 N. Lomb
32 A. Azhil
5 M. Bakker

Coach: G. Seoane

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Taylor · 215 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.