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Champions League
Referee: M Oliver
Leverkusen
T S T T U
2–0
Full-time
Ath Madrid
T S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leverkusen Ath Madrid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
1,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,0
This season — Champions League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
1,0
3,0
Scored
0,0
2,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

45% Possession 55%
18 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 3
7 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 4
0 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Leverkusen Ath Madrid
Odilon Kossounou 🟨
33′
Jonathan Tah 🟨
39′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 R. De Paul
↦ Saúl
62′
🔁 A. Griezmann
↦ N. Molina
62′
🔁 Y. Carrasco
↦ Reinildo
J. Frimpong 🔁
↦ A. Hložek
69′
73′
🔁 Matheus Cunha
↦ Álvaro Morata
73′
🔁 Á. Correa
↦ João Félix
Robert Andrich 🟨
77′
1–0 R. Andrich ⚽
J. Frimpong
84′
2–0 M. Diaby ⚽
J. Frimpong
87′
C. Aránguiz 🔁
↦ P. Schick
89′
M. Bakker 🔁
↦ E. Tapsoba
89′
S. Azmoun 🔁
↦ M. Diaby
89′
N. Amiri 🔁
↦ C. Hudson-Odoi
91′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Leverkusen

4-2-3-1
1 L. Hrádecký G
6 O. Kossounou D
4 J. Tah D
12 E. Tapsoba D
3 P. Hincapié D
8 R. Andrich M
10 K. Demirbay M
19 M. Diaby M
23 A. Hložek M
17 C. Hudson-Odoi M
14 P. Schick F
Bench (9)
30 J. Frimpong
20 C. Aránguiz
5 M. Bakker
9 S. Azmoun
11 N. Amiri
24 T. Fosu-Mensah
41 M. Neutgens
36 N. Lomb
7 Paulinho

Coach: G. Seoane

Ath Madrid

5-3-2
1 I. Grbić G
16 N. Molina D
20 A. Witsel D
18 Felipe D
22 Hermoso D
23 Reinildo D
14 Marcos Llorente M
6 Koke M
17 Saúl M
19 Álvaro Morata F
7 João Félix F
Bench (11)
5 R. De Paul
8 A. Griezmann
21 Y. Carrasco
9 Matheus Cunha
10 Á. Correa
32 Alberto Moreno
4 G. Kondogbia
36 Marco Moreno
30 Sergio Díez
31 Antonio Gomis
51 Sergio Mestre

Coach: D. Simeone

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Oliver · 207 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.