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Championship

Referee: D Bond

Reading

T S T S S

1–1

Full-time

Norwich

S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Reading Norwich

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

67%

83%

Points per game

2,0

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,5

Scored

1,2

1,8

Conceded

1,5

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+1,2

This season — Championship · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 64%

64%

Points per game

1,9

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

64%

45%

Both score Ø 41%

27%

55%

Average goals

2,5

2,4

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

1,4

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

35% Possession 65%

10 Shots 7

3 Shots on target 1

4 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 7

2 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 4

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Reading 4. · Norwich 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sheffield United	12	7	3	2	+13	24
2	Norwich	11	7	2	2	+8	23
3	QPR	12	6	3	3	+5	21
4	Reading	11	7	0	4	-2	21
5	Burnley	11	4	6	1	+7	18
6	Blackburn	11	6	0	5	-1	18
7	Sunderland	12	4	5	3	+5	17
8	Watford	11	4	5	2	+4	17
9	Luton	12	4	5	3	+3	17
10	Wigan	10	4	4	2	+0	16
11	Bristol City	12	4	3	5	+2	15
12	Swansea	11	4	3	4	-1	15
13	Rotherham	10	3	5	2	+4	14
14	Preston	11	2	7	2	-1	13
15	Birmingham	11	3	4	4	-2	13
16	Millwall	11	4	1	6	-4	13
17	Stoke	11	3	3	5	-4	12
18	Cardiff	11	3	3	5	-4	12
19	Blackpool	12	3	3	6	-6	12
20	Hull	11	3	2	6	-12	11
21	West Brom	11	1	7	3	+0	10
22	Middlesbrough	10	2	4	4	-2	10
23	Huddersfield	11	2	2	7	-6	8
24	Coventry	8	0	4	4	-6	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Reading	6	5	0	1	+5	15
2	Norwich	6	4	2	0	+7	14
3	Sheffield United	6	4	1	1	+9	13
4	Blackburn	6	4	0	2	+3	12
5	Millwall	6	4	0	2	+3	12
6	Rotherham	6	3	2	1	+7	11
7	Bristol City	6	3	1	2	+4	10
8	Watford	5	3	1	1	+2	10
9	Burnley	5	2	3	0	+3	9
10	Middlesbrough	6	2	3	1	+1	9
11	Hull	6	3	0	3	-4	9
12	QPR	5	2	2	1	+2	8
13	Cardiff	5	2	2	1	+1	8
14	Sunderland	6	1	4	1	+2	7
15	Luton	7	1	4	2	+0	7
16	Huddersfield	6	2	1	3	+0	7
17	Swansea	6	2	1	3	-2	7
18	West Brom	6	1	3	2	+1	6
19	Birmingham	5	1	2	2	-1	5
20	Stoke	5	1	2	2	-3	5
21	Blackpool	5	1	1	3	-2	4
22	Preston	6	0	4	2	-3	4
23	Wigan	5	0	3	2	-5	3
24	Coventry	1	0	0	1	-1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wigan	5	4	1	0	+5	13
2	QPR	7	4	1	2	+3	13
3	Sheffield United	6	3	2	1	+4	11
4	Sunderland	6	3	1	2	+3	10
5	Luton	5	3	1	1	+3	10
6	Burnley	6	2	3	1	+4	9
7	Preston	5	2	3	0	+2	9
8	Norwich	5	3	0	2	+1	9
9	Swansea	5	2	2	1	+1	8
10	Birmingham	6	2	2	2	-1	8
11	Blackpool	7	2	2	3	-4	8
12	Watford	6	1	4	1	+2	7
13	Stoke	6	2	1	3	-1	7
14	Blackburn	5	2	0	3	-4	6
15	Reading	5	2	0	3	-7	6
16	Bristol City	6	1	2	3	-2	5
17	West Brom	5	0	4	1	-1	4
18	Coventry	7	0	4	3	-5	4
19	Cardiff	6	1	1	4	-5	4
20	Rotherham	4	0	3	1	-3	3
21	Hull	5	0	2	3	-8	2
22	Middlesbrough	4	0	1	3	-3	1
23	Huddersfield	5	0	1	4	-6	1
24	Millwall	5	0	1	4	-7	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.