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La Liga

Referee: José Sánchez

Real Madrid

S U S S U

3–1

Full-time

Barcelona

S S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Real Madrid Barcelona

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

2,2

2,3

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

0,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,3

This season — La Liga · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 88%

88%

Points per game

2,8

Over 2.5 Ø 69%

75%

63%

Both score Ø 51%

88%

13%

Average goals

3,3

2,6

Scored

2,4

2,5

Conceded

0,9

0,1

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+2,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

43% Possession 57%

8 Shots 18

4 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 6

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 3

3 Offside 4

11 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Real Madrid 2. · Barcelona 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	8	7	1	0	+19	22
2	Real Madrid	8	7	1	0	+12	22
3	Ath Madrid	9	6	1	2	+8	19
4	Sociedad	9	6	1	2	+3	19
5	Ath Bilbao	9	5	2	2	+11	17
6	Betis	8	5	1	2	+5	16
7	Valencia	9	4	2	3	+6	14
8	Osasuna	8	4	1	3	+1	13
9	Villarreal	8	3	3	2	+7	12
10	Vallecano	9	3	2	4	-2	11
11	Celta	9	3	1	5	-6	10
12	Mallorca	9	2	3	4	-3	9
13	Sevilla	9	2	3	4	-5	9
14	Girona	9	2	2	5	-3	8
15	Valladolid	8	2	2	4	-7	8
16	Getafe	9	2	2	5	-8	8
17	Almeria	8	2	1	5	-5	7
18	Espanol	8	1	3	4	-5	6
19	Cadiz	9	1	3	5	-13	6
20	Elche	9	0	3	6	-15	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Betis	4	4	0	0	+6	12
2	Barcelona	4	3	1	0	+8	10
3	Valencia	5	3	1	1	+7	10
4	Ath Bilbao	6	3	1	2	+4	10
5	Osasuna	5	3	0	2	+1	9
6	Real Madrid	3	2	1	0	+4	7
7	Girona	5	2	1	2	+0	7
8	Celta	5	2	1	2	+0	7
9	Vallecano	4	2	1	1	+0	7
10	Sociedad	4	2	1	1	-1	7
11	Ath Madrid	4	2	0	2	+1	6
12	Almeria	4	2	0	2	+1	6
13	Villarreal	2	1	1	0	+4	4
14	Mallorca	5	1	1	3	-2	4
15	Valladolid	4	1	1	2	-3	4
16	Getafe	5	1	1	3	-4	4
17	Elche	4	0	2	2	-4	2
18	Sevilla	4	0	2	2	-5	2
19	Cadiz	5	0	2	3	-9	2
20	Espanol	4	0	1	3	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	5	5	0	0	+8	15
2	Ath Madrid	5	4	1	0	+7	13
3	Barcelona	4	4	0	0	+11	12
4	Sociedad	5	4	0	1	+4	12
5	Villarreal	6	2	2	2	+3	8
6	Ath Bilbao	3	2	1	0	+7	7
7	Sevilla	5	2	1	2	+0	7
8	Espanol	4	1	2	1	+0	5
9	Mallorca	4	1	2	1	-1	5
10	Osasuna	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Valencia	4	1	1	2	-1	4
12	Betis	4	1	1	2	-1	4
13	Vallecano	5	1	1	3	-2	4
14	Valladolid	4	1	1	2	-4	4
15	Getafe	4	1	1	2	-4	4
16	Cadiz	4	1	1	2	-4	4
17	Celta	4	1	0	3	-6	3
18	Girona	4	0	1	3	-3	1
19	Almeria	4	0	1	3	-6	1
20	Elche	5	0	1	4	-11	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.