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Champions League
Referee: D Makkelie
Bayern Munich
U S U S U
2–0
Full-time
Barcelona
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bayern Munich Barcelona
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
2,0
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,7
3,7
Scored
3,0
3,3
Conceded
0,7
0,3
Goal diff per game
+2,3
+3,0
This season — Champions League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
2,0
6,0
Scored
2,0
5,0
Conceded
0,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+4,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%
13 Shots 18
4 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 4
3 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Bayern Munich Barcelona
Marcel Sabitzer 🟨
19′
N. Mazraoui 🔁
↦ B. Pavard
21′
Half-time 0–0
L. Goretzka 🔁
↦ M. Sabitzer
46′
48′
🟨 Sergio Busquets
1–0 L. Hernández ⚽
J. Kimmich
50′
2–0 L. Sané ⚽
J. Musiala
54′
61′
🔁 F. de Jong
↦ Gavi
61′
🔁 Ferran Torres
↦ Raphinha
S. Gnabry 🔁
↦ S. Mané
70′
70′
🔁 Eric García
↦ A. Christensen
Joshua Kimmich 🟨
74′
M. Tel 🔁
↦ L. Sané
79′
R. Gravenberch 🔁
↦ J. Musiala
80′
80′
🔁 Ansu Fati
↦ O. Dembélé
80′
🔁 F. Kessié
↦ Sergio Busquets
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Bayern Munich

4-2-3-1
1 M. Neuer G
5 B. Pavard D
2 D. Upamecano D
21 L. Hernández D
19 A. Davies D
6 J. Kimmich M
18 M. Sabitzer M
10 L. Sané M
42 J. Musiala M
17 S. Mané M
25 T. Müller F
Bench (9)
40 N. Mazraoui
8 L. Goretzka
7 S. Gnabry
39 M. Tel
38 R. Gravenberch
13 E. Choupo-Moting
4 M. de Ligt
26 S. Ulreich
44 J. Stanišić

Coach: J. Nagelsmann

Barcelona

4-3-3
1 M. ter Stegen G
23 J. Koundé D
4 R. Araujo D
15 A. Christensen D
17 Marcos Alonso D
30 Gavi M
5 Sergio Busquets M
8 Pedri M
22 Raphinha F
9 R. Lewandowski F
7 O. Dembélé F
Bench (12)
21 F. de Jong
11 Ferran Torres
24 Eric García
10 Ansu Fati
19 F. Kessié
3 Piqué
18 Jordi Alba
36 Arnau Tenas
2 Héctor Bellerín
14 M. Depay
26 Iñaki Peña
28 Alejandro Balde

Coach: Xavi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Makkelie · 193 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.