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Champions League
Referee: S Jablonski
HJK Helsinki
T T T S U
1–0
Full-time
Molde
U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

HJK Helsinki Molde
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
0,8
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,8
Scored
0,8
3,2
Conceded
1,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+2,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2 Corners 7
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

HJK Helsinki Molde
1–0 T. Keskinen ⚽
A. Tanaka
25′
Half-time 1–0
50′
🟨 Ola Brynhildsen
67′
🟨 Kristoffer Haugen
67′
🔁 V. Berisha
↦ O. Brynhildsen
67′
🔁 M. Kaasa
↦ K. Eriksen
67′
🔁 M. Eikrem
↦ E. Kitolano
P. Hetemaj 🔁
↦ G. Kanellópoulos
70′
A. Halme 🔁
↦ A. Tanaka
78′
A. Olusanya 🔁
↦ T. Keskinen
78′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

HJK Helsinki

3-4-2-1
1 J. Öst G
4 J. Toivio D
15 M. Tenho D
22 J. Raitala D
27 K. Kouassivi-Benissan D
10 L. Lingman M
24 G. Kanellópoulos M
23 P. Soiri M
37 A. Tanaka M
18 T. Keskinen M
9 B. Radulović F
Bench (10)
56 P. Hetemaj
6 A. Halme
29 A. Olusanya
78 A. Ramula
59 L. Möller
7 S. Hostikka
2 T. Ollila
25 D. Iliev
34 M. Stjopin
11 R. Riski

Coach: T. Korkeakunnas

Molde

5-3-2
1 J. Karlstrøm G
21 M. Linnes M
4 B. Hansen D
2 M. Bjørnbak D
25 A. Hagelskjær D
28 K. Haugen M
20 K. Eriksen M
8 S. Heggheim M
16 E. Breivik M
10 E. Kitolano M
11 O. Brynhildsen F
Bench (11)
9 V. Berisha
15 M. Kaasa
7 M. Eikrem
12 O. Petersen
33 N. Ødegård
31 M. Løvik
14 E. Knudtzon
22 M. Grødem
23 E. Andersen
6 M. Ellingsen
34 P. Lervik

Coach: E. Moe

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Jablonski · 136 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.