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Referee: D Strukan
Ludogorets
T U S T T
1–0
Full-time
Anderlecht
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ludogorets Anderlecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,49 xG 1,44
30% Possession 70%
6 Shots 16
3 Shots on target 3
0 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 7
5 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Ludogorets Anderlecht
1–0 Thiago ⚽
K. Despodov
9′
Half-time 1–0
48′
🟨 Islam Slimani
61′
🟨 Michael Murillo
D. Yankov 🔁
↦ Nonato
63′
68′
🔁 B. Raman
↦ I. Slimani
68′
🔁 M. Ashimeru
↦ K. Arnstad
68′
🔁 L. Refaelov
↦ M. Stroeykens
Show 🟨
69′
Claude Gonçalves 🔁
↦ B. Tekpetey
73′
81′
🟨 Anders Dreyer
S. Delev 🔁
↦ Show
84′
M. Tissera 🔁
↦ Thiago
84′
88′
🔁 N. Angulo
↦ A. Dreyer
Sergio Padt 🟨
91′
Kiril Despodov 🟨
93′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Ludogorets

4-2-3-1
1 S. Padt G
16 A. Witry D
22 F. Russo D
32 I. Plastun D
14 D. Gruper D
30 Pedro Naressi M
23 Show M
11 K. Despodov M
20 Nonato M
37 B. Tekpetey M
9 Thiago F
Bench (9)
64 D. Yankov
8 Claude Gonçalves
90 S. Delev
10 M. Tissera
12 S. Sluga
17 Jorginho
5 G. Terziev
67 D. Hristov
2 Pipa

Coach: A. Šimundža

Anderlecht

4-3-3
16 B. Verbruggen G
62 A. Murillo D
56 Z. Debast D
14 J. Vertonghen D
54 K. Sardella D
61 K. Arnstad
21 A. Diawara M
10 Y. Verschaeren M
36 A. Dreyer F
13 I. Slimani F
29 M. Stroeykens F
Bench (12)
9 B. Raman
18 M. Ashimeru
11 L. Refaelov
32 N. Angulo
23 H. Bellman
24 I. Abdulrazak
5 M. N'Diaye
25 A. Trébel
71 T. Leoni
30 H. Van Crombrugge
27 N. Sadiki
26 C. Coosemans

Coach: B. Riemer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Strukan · 15 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
6,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,43 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.