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Champions League
Referee: F Zwayer
Arsenal
S S U S S
4–0
Full-time
PSV Eindhoven
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Arsenal PSV Eindhoven
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 83%
83%
83%
Points per game
2,7
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,0
4,3
Scored
2,3
3,5
Conceded
0,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+2,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

2,36 xG 0,57
59% Possession 41%
17 Shots 12
8 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 4
3 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

27. Oct -22 PSV Eindhoven – Arsenal 2–0 20. Oct -22 Arsenal – PSV Eindhoven 1–0

Match report

Arsenal PSV Eindhoven
1–0 B. Saka ⚽
8′
2–0 L. Trossard ⚽
B. Saka
20′
3–0 Gabriel Jesus ⚽
L. Trossard
38′
Benjamin White 🟨
42′
Half-time 3–0
47′
🟨 Olivier Boscagli
T. Tomiyasu 🔁
↦ O. Zinchenko
58′
R. Nelson 🔁
↦ L. Trossard
58′
66′
🔁 M. Tillman
↦ I. Saibari
66′
🔁 H. Lozano
↦ J. Bakayoko
Fábio Vieira 🔁
↦ B. Saka
69′
E. Smith Rowe 🔁
↦ Gabriel Jesus
69′
4–0 M. Ødegaard ⚽
R. Nelson
70′
Jorginho 🔁
↦ D. Rice
76′
76′
🔁 Y. Vertessen
↦ N. Lang
76′
🔁 André Ramalho
↦ A. Bella-Kotchap
80′
🟨 Malik Tillman
87′
🟨 Jerdy Schouten
90′
🔁 R. Pepi
↦ L. de Jong
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Arsenal

4-3-3
22 David Raya G
4 B. White D
2 W. Saliba D
6 Gabriel Magalhães D
35 O. Zinchenko D
8 M. Ødegaard M
41 D. Rice M
29 K. Havertz M
7 B. Saka F
9 Gabriel Jesus F
19 L. Trossard F
Bench (11)
18 T. Tomiyasu
24 R. Nelson
21 Fábio Vieira
10 E. Smith Rowe
20 Jorginho
17 Cédric Soares
25 Mohamed Elneny
1 A. Ramsdale
31 K. Hein
15 J. Kiwior
14 E. Nketiah

Coach: Mikel Arteta

PSV Eindhoven

4-2-3-1
1 W. Benítez G
3 J. Teze D
6 A. Bella-Kotchap D
18 O. Boscagli D
8 S. Dest D
22 J. Schouten M
23 J. Veerman M
11 J. Bakayoko M
34 I. Saibari M
7 N. Lang M
9 L. de Jong F
Bench (11)
10 M. Tillman
27 H. Lozano
32 Y. Vertessen
5 André Ramalho
14 R. Pepi
20 G. Til
16 J. Drommel
30 P. van Aanholt
2 S. Sambo
24 B. Waterman
26 I. Babadi

Coach: P. Bosz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

F Zwayer · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.