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Europa League
Referee: M Di Bello
PSV Eindhoven
S S S T T
2–0
Full-time
Arsenal
S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven Arsenal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
67%
83%
Points per game
2,0
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
4,3
2,2
Scored
3,2
1,7
Conceded
1,2
0,5
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+1,2
This season — Europa League · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
1,8
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 38%
50%
25%
Average goals
3,5
2,0
Scored
2,8
1,8
Conceded
0,8
0,3
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

30% Possession 70%
8 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 3
0 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 6
7 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

20. Oct -22 Arsenal – PSV Eindhoven 1–0

Match report

PSV Eindhoven Arsenal
Xavi Simons ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
44′
Half-time 0–0
L. de Jong 🔁
↦ A. El Ghazi
46′
1–0 J. Veerman ⚽
L. de Jong
55′
57′
🔁 T. Partey
↦ A. Lokonga
57′
🔁 B. Saka
↦ M. Ødegaard
58′
🟨 Kieran Tierney
2–0 L. de Jong ⚽
C. Gakpo
63′
64′
🔁 Gabriel Jesus
↦ R. Holding
67′
🟨 Gabriel Martinelli
Phillipp Mwene 🟨
68′
74′
🔁 B. White
↦ T. Tomiyasu
74′
🔁 Gabriel Magalhães
↦ K. Tierney
79′
🟨 Gabriel Jesus
Xavi Simons 🟨
80′
80′
🟨 Granit Xhaka
N. Madueke 🔁
↦ X. Simons
80′
G. Til 🔁
↦ J. Veerman
81′
J. Teze 🔁
↦ J. Branthwaite
81′
Mauro Júnior 🔁
↦ C. Gakpo
84′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

PSV Eindhoven

4-2-3-1
1 W. Benítez G
29 P. Mwene D
5 André Ramalho D
22 J. Branthwaite D
31 P. Max D
6 I. Sangaré M
15 É. Gutiérrez M
21 A. El Ghazi M
23 J. Veerman M
11 C. Gakpo M
7 X. Simons F
Bench (12)
9 L. de Jong
10 N. Madueke
20 G. Til
3 J. Teze
17 Mauro Júnior
8 M. van Ginkel
2 K. Hoever
24 B. Waterman
27 J. Bakayoko
4 A. Obispo
16 J. Drommel
37 R. Ledezma

Coach: R. van Nistelrooij

Arsenal

4-3-3
1 A. Ramsdale G
18 T. Tomiyasu D
12 W. Saliba D
16 R. Holding D
3 K. Tierney D
8 M. Ødegaard M
23 A. Lokonga M
34 G. Xhaka M
21 Fábio Vieira F
14 E. Nketiah F
11 Gabriel Martinelli F
Bench (11)
5 T. Partey
7 B. Saka
9 Gabriel Jesus
4 B. White
6 Gabriel Magalhães
31 K. Hein
44 C. Cîrjan
24 R. Nelson
89 B. Ibrahim
17 Cédric Soares
72 M. Smith

Coach: Mikel Arteta

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Di Bello · 127 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.