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Premier League
Referee: M Oliver
Arsenal
S S T T S
2–1
Full-time
Nott'm Forest
T S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Arsenal Nott'm Forest
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
3,3
3,5
Scored
1,8
2,0
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

0,83 xG 1,18
78% Possession 22%
15 Shots 6
7 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

20. May -23 Nott'm Forest – Arsenal 1–0 30. Oct -22 Arsenal – Nott'm Forest 5–0

Match report

Arsenal Nott'm Forest
1–0 E. Nketiah ⚽
Gabriel Martinelli
26′
28′
🟨 Ola Aina
2–0 B. Saka ⚽
W. Saliba
32′
Half-time 2–0
Jurriën Timber 🟨
50′
T. Tomiyasu 🔁
↦ J. Timber
50′
71′
🔁 T. Awoniyi
↦ Danilo
72′
🔁 N. Williams
↦ O. Aina
L. Trossard 🔁
↦ E. Nketiah
74′
80′
🔁 A. Elanga
↦ B. Johnson
81′
🟨 Orel Mangala
82′
⚽ T. Awoniyi 2–1
A. Elanga
Gabriel Magalhães 🔁
↦ Gabriel Martinelli
86′
90′
🔁 C. Wood
↦ J. Worrall
90′
🔁 C. Kouyaté
↦ O. Mangala
Benjamin White 🟨
92′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Arsenal

4-3-3
1 A. Ramsdale G
5 T. Partey D
4 B. White D
2 W. Saliba D
12 J. Timber D
8 M. Ødegaard M
41 D. Rice M
29 K. Havertz M
7 B. Saka F
14 E. Nketiah F
11 Gabriel Martinelli F
Bench (9)
18 T. Tomiyasu
19 L. Trossard
6 Gabriel Magalhães
10 E. Smith Rowe
21 Fábio Vieira
20 Jorginho
24 R. Nelson
31 K. Hein
15 J. Kiwior

Coach: Mikel Arteta

Nott'm Forest

3-4-3
1 M. Turner G
30 W. Boly D
4 J. Worrall D
26 S. McKenna D
24 S. Aurier M
22 R. Yates M
5 O. Mangala M
43 O. Aina M
28 Danilo F
20 B. Johnson F
10 M. Gibbs-White F
Bench (9)
9 T. Awoniyi
7 N. Williams
21 A. Elanga
11 C. Wood
8 C. Kouyaté
34 E. Horvath
32 L. O'Brien
19 M. Niakhaté
23 R. Freuler

Coach: S. Cooper

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,18
🔒
U
7,64
🔒
B
15,67
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,42
🔒
U2,5
2,85
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Oliver · 207 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.