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Conference League
Referee: J Kooij
Lille
S T U S U
2–0
Full-time
Olimpija Ljubljana
S T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lille Olimpija Ljubljana
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
1,5
0,7
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,87 xG 0,37
63% Possession 37%
17 Shots 8
9 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 7
4 Corners 0
1 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 23
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Lille Olimpija Ljubljana
35′
🟨 Rui Pedro
39′
🟨 Timi Max Elšnik
1–0 J. David ⚽
43′
Half-time 1–0
Alexsandro Ribeiro 🔁
↦ Tiago Santos
46′
Y. Yazıcı 🔁
↦ E. Zhegrova
46′
Angel Gomes 🟨
53′
58′
🔁 S. Fadida
↦ I. Posavec
R. Cabella 🔁
↦ Ivan Cavaleiro
69′
69′
🔁 M. Nukić
↦ Nemanja Motika
69′
🔁 Pedro Lucas
↦ A. Bristrić
78′
🔁 M. Brest
↦ Rui Pedro
78′
🔁 A. Krefl
↦ David Sualehe
A. Virginius 🔁
↦ H. Haraldsson
90′
2–0 Y. Yazıcı ⚽
94′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Lille

4-2-3-1
30 L. Chevalier G
22 Tiago Santos D
18 B. Diakité D
14 S. Umtiti D
5 G. Gudmundsson D
21 B. André M
8 A. Gomes M
23 E. Zhegrova M
7 H. Haraldsson M
17 Ivan Cavaleiro M
9 J. David F
Bench (12)
4 Alexsandro Ribeiro
12 Y. Yazıcı
10 R. Cabella
26 A. Virginius
31 Ismaily
1 V. Mannone
13 A. Zedadka
35 A. Faïz
34 A. Malouda
15 L. Yoro
40 T. Negrel
20 I. Miramón

Coach: Paulo Fonseca

Olimpija Ljubljana

4-3-3
69 M. Vidovšek G
2 Jorge Silva D
14 M. Ratnik D
16 A. Muhamedbegović D
3 David Sualehe D
10 T. Elšnik M
34 A. Doffo M
21 I. Posavec M
20 Nemanja Motika F
17 A. Bristrić F
99 Rui Pedro F
Bench (12)
11 S. Fadida
9 M. Nukić
37 Pedro Lucas
18 M. Brest
43 A. Krefl
82 R. Kasa
31 Ž. Mauricio
6 M. Karamatić
25 M. Mijailović
33 N. Gavrić
8 J. Lasickas
22 D. Pintol

Coach: João Henriques

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Kooij · 92 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.