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Champions League
Referee: F Letexier
Ath Madrid
T U S S S
3–2
Full-time
Feyenoord
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Feyenoord
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 84%
67%
100%
Points per game
2,2
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,8
5,0
Scored
2,7
4,3
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+3,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

0,84 xG 2,46
48% Possession 52%
7 Shots 17
3 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 4
6 Goalkeeper saves 0
4 Corners 15
2 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 7
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Ath Madrid Feyenoord
7′
⚽ Hermoso 1–0
own goal
2–0 Álvaro Morata ⚽
12′
Álvaro Morata ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
13′
César Azpilicueta 🟨
33′
34′
⚽ D. Hancko 2–1
Saúl Ñíguez 🟨
41′
Half-time 2–1
Álvaro Morata 🟨
46′
Marcos Llorente 🔁
↦ R. De Paul
46′
3–1 Álvaro Morata ⚽
N. Molina
47′
4–1 A. Griezmann ⚽
48′
53′
🟨 Calvin Stengs
Samuel Lino 🟨
56′
60′
🔁 Y. Minteh
↦ A. Ueda
Javi Galán 🔁
↦ Samuel Lino
62′
73′
🔁 B. Nieuwkoop
↦ G. Trauner
74′
🔁 O. Lingr
↦ M. Wieffer
78′
🔁 A. Jahanbakhsh
↦ R. Zerrouki
Rodrigo Riquelme 🔁
↦ N. Molina
79′
Á. Correa 🔁
↦ A. Griezmann
79′
I. Kostis 🔁
↦ Álvaro Morata
94′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Ath Madrid

3-5-2
13 J. Oblak G
3 César Azpilicueta D
20 A. Witsel D
22 Hermoso D
16 N. Molina M
5 R. De Paul M
6 Koke M
8 Saúl M
12 Samuel Lino M
7 A. Griezmann F
19 Álvaro Morata F
Bench (10)
14 Marcos Llorente
17 Javi Galán
25 Rodrigo Riquelme
10 Á. Correa
27 I. Kostis
26 Aitor Gismera
1 I. Grbić
40 Sergio Guerrero
31 Antonio Gomis
29 Javier Boñar

Coach: D. Simeone

Feyenoord

4-3-3
22 T. Wellenreuther G
4 L. Geertruida D
18 G. Trauner D
33 D. Hancko D
5 Q. Hartman D
20 M. Wieffer M
6 R. Zerrouki M
8 Q. Timber M
10 C. Stengs F
9 A. Ueda F
14 Igor Paixão F
Bench (10)
19 Y. Minteh
2 B. Nieuwkoop
32 O. Lingr
7 A. Jahanbakhsh
11 J. Dilrosun
3 T. Beelen
31 K. Lamprou
16 T. van den Belt
39 M. van Sas
15 M. López

Coach: A. Slot

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

F Letexier · 176 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.