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Champions League
Referee: Artur Soares Dias
RB Leipzig
S S S S U
1–3
Full-time
Man City
S S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

RB Leipzig Man City
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
83%
67%
Points per game
2,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,3
Scored
2,5
2,3
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
4,0
4,0
Scored
3,0
3,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,47 xG 2,28
32% Possession 68%
3 Shots 18
1 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
2 Corners 3
3 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 6
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

14. Mar -23 Man City – RB Leipzig 7–0 22. Feb -23 RB Leipzig – Man City 1–1

Match report

RB Leipzig Man City
25′
⚽ P. Foden 0–1
R. Lewis
Half-time 1–1
1–1 L. Openda ⚽
Y. Poulsen
48′
65′
🟨 Manuel Akanji
B. Šeško 🔁
↦ E. Forsberg
70′
T. Werner 🔁
↦ L. Openda
70′
Xaver Schlager 🟨
72′
72′
🔁 J. Doku
↦ M. Akanji
72′
🔁 N. Aké
↦ J. Grealish
C. Baumgartner 🔁
↦ Y. Poulsen
75′
David Raum 🟨
78′
79′
🔁 J. Álvarez
↦ P. Foden
84′
⚽ J. Álvarez 1–2
J. Doku
A. Haidara 🔁
↦ N. Seiwald
85′
87′
🔁 Matheus Nunes
↦ Bernardo Silva
92′
⚽ J. Doku 1–3
J. Álvarez
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

RB Leipzig

4-2-3-1
21 J. Blaswich G
2 M. Simakan D
16 L. Klostermann D
23 C. Lukeba D
22 D. Raum D
13 N. Seiwald M
24 X. Schlager M
10 E. Forsberg M
9 Y. Poulsen M
20 X. Simons M
17 L. Openda F
Bench (8)
30 B. Šeško
11 T. Werner
14 C. Baumgartner
8 A. Haidara
44 K. Kampl
1 P. Gulácsi
18 Fábio Carvalho
3 C. Lenz

Coach: M. Rose

Man City

3-2-4-1
31 Ederson G
2 K. Walker D
3 Rúben Dias D
24 J. Gvardiol D
25 M. Akanji M
16 Rodri M
20 Bernardo Silva F
82 R. Lewis M
47 P. Foden M
10 J. Grealish F
9 E. Haaland F
Bench (11)
11 J. Doku
6 N. Aké
19 J. Álvarez
27 Matheus Nunes
4 K. Phillips
5 J. Stones
21 Sergio Gómez
8 M. Kovačić
52 O. Bobb
18 S. Ortega
33 S. Carson

Coach: Pep Guardiola

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Artur Soares Dias · 181 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.