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Eredivisie

Referee: J Manschot

Feyenoord

T U U S S

6–1

Full-time

Heerenveen

T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Feyenoord Heerenveen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,7

Scored

2,7

1,5

Conceded

1,0

2,2

Goal diff per game

+1,7

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eredivisie · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

75%

Both score Ø 75%

75%

Average goals

4,3

3,8

Scored

3,3

2,0

Conceded

1,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

+2,3

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

3,24 xG 0,67

62% Possession 38%

21 Shots 7

9 Shots on target 1

4 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 3

1 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Feyenoord 4. · Heerenveen 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	3	3	0	0	+8	+3.5	9
2	PSV Eindhoven	3	3	0	0	+8	+2.0	9
3	Twente	3	3	0	0	+7	+2.0	9
4	Feyenoord	4	2	2	0	+9	+8.2	8
5	Sparta Rotterdam	4	2	2	0	+3	+0.1	8
6	Heerenveen	4	2	0	2	+1	-3.2	6
7	For Sittard	4	1	3	0	+1	+0.8	6
8	Go Ahead Eagles	3	2	0	1	+0	-1.4	6
9	Heracles	3	2	0	1	+0	-1.8	6
10	Zwolle	4	2	0	2	-1	+0.7	6
11	Ajax	3	1	2	0	+3	+3.2	5
12	Excelsior	4	1	2	1	-1	-1.6	5
13	Nijmegen	4	1	1	2	+1	-1.1	4
14	Vitesse	3	1	0	2	-3	-1.0	3
15	Volendam	3	0	0	3	-6	-0.7	0
16	Utrecht	4	0	0	4	-9	-4.9	0
17	Almere City	4	0	0	4	-10	-4.6	0
18	Waalwijk	4	0	0	4	-11	-0.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Go Ahead Eagles	2	2	0	0	+4	+1.2	6
2	Heracles	2	2	0	0	+3	+0.9	6
3	Feyenoord	2	1	1	0	+5	+3.4	4
4	For Sittard	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.5	4
5	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.6	3
6	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.6	3
7	Nijmegen	2	1	0	1	+2	+0.4	3
8	Twente	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.2	3
9	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.9	3
10	Heerenveen	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.7	3
11	Zwolle	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.6	3
12	Excelsior	2	0	2	0	+0	-1.2	2
13	Sparta Rotterdam	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.2	2
14	Volendam	2	0	0	2	-3	-1.6	0
15	Almere City	2	0	0	2	-4	-1.0	0
16	Vitesse	2	0	0	2	-4	-1.6	0
17	Waalwijk	2	0	0	2	-6	-0.3	0
18	Utrecht	2	0	0	2	-6	-3.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+6	+1.1	6
2	Twente	2	2	0	0	+5	+2.2	6
3	AZ Alkmaar	2	2	0	0	+4	+0.9	6
4	Sparta Rotterdam	2	2	0	0	+3	-0.1	6
5	Feyenoord	2	1	1	0	+4	+4.8	4
6	Heerenveen	2	1	0	1	+1	-2.5	3
7	Vitesse	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.7	3
8	Excelsior	2	1	0	1	-1	-0.4	3
9	Zwolle	2	1	0	1	-1	+0.0	3
10	For Sittard	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.7	2
11	Ajax	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.6	2
12	Nijmegen	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.5	1
13	Heracles	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.6	0
14	Volendam	1	0	0	1	-3	+0.9	0
15	Utrecht	2	0	0	2	-3	-1.7	0
16	Go Ahead Eagles	1	0	0	1	-4	-2.6	0
17	Waalwijk	2	0	0	2	-5	+0.2	0
18	Almere City	2	0	0	2	-6	-3.6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.