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Champions League
Referee: W Collum
FK Crvena Zvezda
S T S T T
2–2
Full-time
Young Boys
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FK Crvena Zvezda Young Boys
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
3,8
2,8
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
2,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 1/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
4,0
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
3,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,67 xG 2,44
50% Possession 50%
20 Shots 18
9 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 7
4 Goalkeeper saves 7
11 Corners 5
5 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 13
6 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

FK Crvena Zvezda Young Boys
Cherif Ndiaye 🟨
18′
1–0 C. Ndiaye ⚽
O. Bukari
35′
Cherif Ndiaye ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
37′
Half-time 1–0
47′
🔁 A. Amenda
↦ L. Benito
48′
⚽ F. Ugrinic 1–1
Joël Monteiro
Mirko Ivanić 🟨
50′
In-Beom Hwang 🟨
58′
60′
ℹ️ Ulisses Garcia
VAR: Penalty confirmed
61′
⚽ C. Itten 1–2
P. Olayinka 🔁
↦ M. Rodić
62′
64′
🟨 Darian Males
Osman Bukari 🟨
65′
V. Lučić 🔁
↦ M. Stamenić
69′
A. Katai 🔁
↦ S. Mitrović
70′
Srđan Mijailović 🟨
73′
Aleksandar Dragović 🟨
74′
74′
🟨 Mohamed Camara
74′
🔁 M. Chaiwa
↦ D. Males
75′
🔁 S. Ganvoula
↦ C. Itten
J. Krasso 🔁
↦ C. Ndiaye
80′
2–2 O. Bukari ⚽
J. Krasso
88′
91′
🟨 Cheikh Niasse
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

FK Crvena Zvezda

4-2-3-1
18 O. Glazer G
33 S. Mijailović D
24 N. Djiga D
15 A. Dragović D
23 M. Rodić D
6 M. Stamenić M
66 Hwang In-Beom M
30 O. Bukari M
4 M. Ivanić M
80 S. Mitrović M
9 C. Ndiaye F
Bench (12)
14 P. Olayinka
37 V. Lučić
10 A. Katai
17 J. Krasso
1 Z. Popović
8 G. Kanga
19 N. Milunović
20 K. Kangwa
3 M. Degenek
70 U. Kabić
5 U. Spajić
27 N. Vasiljević

Coach: B. Bakhar

Young Boys

4-3-3
1 A. Racioppi G
17 S. Janko D
13 M. Camara D
23 L. Benito D
21 U. Garcia D
7 F. Ugrinic M
20 C. Niasse M
39 D. Males M
77 Joël Monteiro F
9 C. Itten F
15 M. Elia F
Bench (12)
4 A. Amenda
14 M. Chaiwa
35 S. Ganvoula
27 L. Blum
28 F. Lustenberger
22 D. Rrudhani
40 D. Marzino
8 Ł. Łakomy
11 E. Colley
18 J. Nsame
26 D. von Ballmoos
19 N. Persson

Coach: R. Wicky

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

W Collum · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.