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Champions League
Referee: A Treimanis
Benfica
U S T S S
3–3
Full-time
Inter
S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Benfica Inter
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,7
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 38%
0%
75%
Points per game
0,0
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
25%
25%
Both score Ø 38%
25%
50%
Average goals
2,0
1,8
Scored
0,3
1,3
Conceded
1,8
0,5
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

1,64 xG 3,01
41% Possession 59%
11 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 8
2 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 6
13 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

3. Oct -23 Inter – Benfica 1–0 19. Apr -23 Inter – Benfica 3–3 11. Apr -23 Benfica – Inter 0–2

Match report

Benfica Inter
1–0 João Mário ⚽
C. Tengstedt
5′
João Mário ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
6′
2–0 João Mário ⚽
13′
3–0 João Mário ⚽
34′
Half-time 3–1
51′
⚽ M. Arnautović 3–1
53′
ℹ️ Marko Arnautović
VAR: Goal confirmed
58′
⚽ D. Frattesi 3–2
F. Acerbi
67′
🔁 J. Cuadrado
↦ M. Darmian
68′
🔁 M. Thuram
↦ M. Arnautović
68′
🔁 N. Barella
↦ D. Klaassen
João Mário 🟨
72′
72′
⚽ A. Sánchez 3–3
76′
🟨 Juan Cuadrado
77′
🔁 F. Dimarco
↦ S. de Vrij
Felipe Morato 🟨
78′
P. Musa 🔁
↦ C. Tengstedt
79′
O. Kökçü 🔁
↦ Florentino
79′
79′
🔁 L. Martínez
↦ A. Sánchez
António Silva ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
84′
António Silva 🟥
86′
Tomás Araújo 🔁
↦ Á. Di María
89′
Tiago Gouveia 🔁
↦ Rafa
99′
Chiquinho 🔁
↦ João Mário
99′
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Benfica

4-2-3-1
1 A. Trubin G
8 F. Aursnes D
4 António Silva D
30 N. Otamendi D
5 Morato D
61 Florentino M
87 João Neves M
11 Á. Di María M
27 Rafa M
20 João Mário M
19 C. Tengstedt F
Bench (10)
33 P. Musa
10 O. Kökçü
44 Tomás Araújo
47 Tiago Gouveia
22 Chiquinho
9 Arthur Cabral
45 L. Kokubo
38 João Victor
13 D. Jurásek
24 Samuel Soares

Coach: R. Schmidt

Inter

3-1-4-2
77 E. Audero G
31 Y. Bisseck D
6 S. de Vrij D
15 F. Acerbi D
21 K. Asllani M
36 M. Darmian M
16 D. Frattesi M
14 D. Klaassen M
30 Carlos Augusto M
70 A. Sánchez F
8 M. Arnautović F
Bench (12)
7 J. Cuadrado
9 M. Thuram
23 N. Barella
32 F. Dimarco
10 L. Martínez
22 H. Mkhitaryan
47 I. Kamate
44 G. Stabile
20 H. Çalhanoğlu
1 Y. Sommer
12 R. Di Gennaro
50 A. Stanković

Coach: S. Inzaghi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Treimanis · 28 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.