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Champions League
Referee: D Makkelie
Inter
S U S T S
1–0
Full-time
Benfica
S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Inter Benfica
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
67%
83%
Points per game
2,2
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,3
3,2
Scored
2,7
2,2
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
1,0
0,0
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

3,81 xG 0,31
47% Possession 53%
21 Shots 6
8 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 7
6 Corners 5
3 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 5
4 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

19. Apr -23 Inter – Benfica 3–3 11. Apr -23 Benfica – Inter 0–2

Match report

Inter Benfica
22′
🔁 Tomás Araújo
↦ A. Bah
Half-time 1–0
1–0 M. Thuram ⚽
D. Dumfries
62′
Lautaro Martínez 🟨
67′
Nicolò Barella 🟨
68′
69′
🔁 P. Musa
↦ O. Kökçü
69′
🔁 Chiquinho
↦ Rafa
Denzel Dumfries 🟨
70′
A. Sánchez 🔁
↦ M. Thuram
73′
M. Darmian 🔁
↦ D. Dumfries
73′
80′
🔁 D. Jurásek
↦ Á. Di María
80′
🔁 Arthur Cabral
↦ Juan Bernat
K. Asllani 🔁
↦ H. Çalhanoğlu
84′
Carlos Augusto 🔁
↦ F. Dimarco
84′
D. Klaassen 🔁
↦ N. Barella
92′
Kristjan Asllani 🟨
95′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Inter

3-5-2
1 Y. Sommer G
28 B. Pavard D
15 F. Acerbi D
95 A. Bastoni D
2 D. Dumfries M
23 N. Barella M
20 H. Çalhanoğlu M
22 H. Mkhitaryan M
32 F. Dimarco M
10 L. Martínez F
9 M. Thuram F
Bench (11)
70 A. Sánchez
36 M. Darmian
21 K. Asllani
30 Carlos Augusto
14 D. Klaassen
12 R. Di Gennaro
7 J. Cuadrado
49 A. Sarr
6 S. de Vrij
31 Y. Bisseck
77 E. Audero

Coach: S. Inzaghi

Benfica

4-2-3-1
1 A. Trubin G
6 A. Bah D
30 N. Otamendi D
5 Morato D
14 Juan Bernat D
87 João Neves M
10 O. Kökçü M
11 Á. Di María M
27 Rafa M
8 F. Aursnes M
7 David Neres F
Bench (12)
44 Tomás Araújo
33 P. Musa
22 Chiquinho
13 D. Jurásek
9 Arthur Cabral
19 C. Tengstedt
24 Samuel Soares
17 Gonçalo Guedes
20 João Mário
61 Florentino
45 L. Kokubo
47 Tiago Gouveia

Coach: R. Schmidt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Makkelie · 193 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.