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Champions League
Referee: A Taylor
Sociedad
S S U S T
3–1
Full-time
Benfica
S S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sociedad Benfica
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,8
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
0,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,3
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 17%
33%
0%
Average goals
1,7
1,3
Scored
1,3
0,0
Conceded
0,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

3,41 xG 0,86
52% Possession 48%
17 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
10 Corners 3
2 Offside 2
18 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

24. Oct -23 Benfica – Sociedad 0–1

Match report

Sociedad Benfica
1–0 Mikel Merino ⚽
Aihen Muñoz
6′
2–0 Mikel Oyarzabal ⚽
11′
Mikel Merino ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
16′
20′
🟨 Florentino Luís
3–0 Barrenetxea ⚽
Mikel Merino
21′
31′
🔁 D. Jurásek
↦ Florentino
Half-time 3–1
49′
⚽ Rafa 3–1
N. Otamendi
Ander Barrenetxea 🟨
62′
64′
🔁 P. Musa
↦ Arthur Cabral
Beñat Turrientes 🔁
↦ Brais Méndez
70′
Carlos Fernández 🔁
↦ T. Kubo
70′
A. Zakharyan 🔁
↦ Barrenetxea
78′
85′
🔁 C. Tengstedt
↦ Á. Di María
85′
🔁 Chiquinho
↦ João Mário
85′
🔁 Gonçalo Guedes
↦ Rafa
Carlos Fernández 🟨
86′
Odriozola 🔁
↦ Elustondo
86′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Sociedad

4-3-3
1 Álex Remiro G
6 Elustondo D
5 Zubeldia D
24 Robin Le Normand D
3 Aihen Muñoz D
23 Brais Méndez M
4 Martín Zubimendi M
8 Mikel Merino M
14 T. Kubo F
10 Mikel Oyarzabal F
7 Barrenetxea F
Bench (12)
22 Beñat Turrientes
9 Carlos Fernández
12 A. Zakharyan
2 Odriozola
19 U. Sadiq
30 Gaizka Ayesa
32 Unai Marrero
26 Urko González
16 Jon Ander Olasagasti
28 Jon Magunazelaia
11 M. Cho
29 Pablo Marín

Coach: Imanol Alguacil

Benfica

3-4-3
1 A. Trubin G
4 António Silva D
30 N. Otamendi D
5 Morato D
87 João Neves M
61 Florentino M
20 João Mário M
8 F. Aursnes M
11 Á. Di María F
9 Arthur Cabral F
27 Rafa F
Bench (10)
13 D. Jurásek
33 P. Musa
19 C. Tengstedt
22 Chiquinho
17 Gonçalo Guedes
24 Samuel Soares
47 Tiago Gouveia
38 João Victor
44 Tomás Araújo
45 L. Kokubo

Coach: R. Schmidt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Taylor · 215 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.