← Match Finder
Champions League
Referee: D Makkelie
Newcastle
S U S T T
1–2
Full-time
Milan
U S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Newcastle Milan
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,0
3,5
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 20%
20%
20%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
20%
60%
Both score Ø 40%
40%
40%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
1,0
0,6
Conceded
1,0
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,78 xG 1,96
58% Possession 42%
17 Shots 12
8 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

19. Sep -23 Milan – Newcastle 0–0

Match report

Newcastle Milan
1–0 Joelinton ⚽
L. Miley
33′
40′
🟨 Rafael Leão
Half-time 1–0
46′
🟨 Mike Maignan
59′
⚽ C. Pulišić 1–1
O. Giroud
A. Isak 🔁
↦ A. Gordon
62′
D. Burn 🔁
↦ K. Trippier
63′
S. Longstaff 🔁
↦ L. Miley
71′
Joelinton 🟨
72′
73′
🔁 T. Pobega
↦ R. Loftus-Cheek
73′
🔁 L. Jović
↦ C. Pulišić
78′
🟨 Luka Jović
80′
🟨 Yunus Musah
83′
🔁 N. Okafor
↦ O. Giroud
83′
🔁 S. Chukwueze
↦ Y. Musah
84′
⚽ S. Chukwueze 1–2
N. Okafor
88′
🔁 D. Bartesaghi
↦ Rafael Leão
90′
🟨 Alessandro Florenzi
Fabian Schär 🟨
95′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Newcastle

4-3-3
1 M. Dúbravka G
2 K. Trippier D
6 J. Lascelles D
5 F. Schär D
21 T. Livramento D
67 L. Miley M
39 Bruno Guimarães M
7 Joelinton M
24 M. Almirón F
9 C. Wilson F
10 A. Gordon F
Bench (7)
14 A. Isak
33 D. Burn
36 S. Longstaff
82 A. Harrison
20 L. Hall
18 L. Karius
3 P. Dummett

Coach: E. Howe

Milan

4-2-3-1
16 M. Maignan G
2 D. Calabria D
23 F. Tomori D
19 T. Hernández D
42 A. Florenzi D
14 T. Reijnders M
80 Y. Musah M
11 C. Pulišić M
8 R. Loftus-Cheek M
10 Rafael Leão M
9 O. Giroud F
Bench (11)
32 T. Pobega
15 L. Jović
17 N. Okafor
21 S. Chukwueze
95 D. Bartesaghi
33 R. Krunić
69 L. Nava
70 C. Traorè
84 C. Nsiala-Makengo
7 Y. Adli
83 A. Mirante

Coach: S. Pioli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Makkelie · 193 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.