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Champions League
Referee: G Nyberg
Dortmund
S S U T T
1–1
Full-time
Paris SG
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dortmund Paris SG
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,7
3,3
Scored
1,8
2,3
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 50%
60%
40%
Points per game
2,0
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
20%
60%
Both score Ø 40%
20%
60%
Average goals
1,8
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,6
Conceded
0,6
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,38 xG 2,86
41% Possession 59%
10 Shots 18
6 Shots on target 6
0 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 5
5 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

19. Sep -23 Paris SG – Dortmund 2–0

Match report

Dortmund Paris SG
45′
🟨 Marquinhos
Half-time 1–0
1–0 K. Adeyemi ⚽
N. Füllkrug
51′
56′
⚽ W. Zaïre-Emery 1–1
Mats Hummels 🟨
57′
D. Malen 🔁
↦ J. Bynoe-Gittens
60′
68′
🔁 M. Ugarte
↦ Lee Kang-In
M. Sabitzer 🔁
↦ S. Özcan
69′
N. Schlotterbeck 🔁
↦ M. Wolf
69′
77′
ℹ️ Kylian Mbappé
VAR: Goal cancelled
G. Reyna 🔁
↦ K. Adeyemi
81′
S. Haller 🔁
↦ N. Füllkrug
81′
82′
🔁 Marco Asensio
↦ B. Barcola
96′
🔁 Carlos Soler
↦ R. Kolo Muani
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Dortmund

4-2-3-1
1 G. Kobel G
17 M. Wolf D
25 N. Süle D
15 M. Hummels D
5 R. Bensebaïni D
19 J. Brandt M
6 S. Özcan M
27 K. Adeyemi M
11 M. Reus M
43 J. Bynoe-Gittens M
14 N. Füllkrug F
Bench (9)
21 D. Malen
20 M. Sabitzer
4 N. Schlotterbeck
7 G. Reyna
9 S. Haller
33 A. Meyer
35 M. Lotka
45 Guille Bueno
42 H. Blank

Coach: E. Terzić

Paris SG

3-4-2-1
99 G. Donnarumma G
5 Marquinhos D
37 M. Škriniar D
21 L. Hernández D
2 A. Hakimi M
33 W. Zaïre-Emery M
17 Vitinha M
29 B. Barcola M
23 R. Kolo Muani F
19 Lee Kang-In F
7 K. Mbappé F
Bench (7)
4 M. Ugarte
11 Marco Asensio
28 Carlos Soler
30 A. Letellier
26 N. Mukiele
80 Arnau Tenas
15 Danilo Pereira

Coach: Luis Enrique

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

G Nyberg · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.