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Champions League
Referee: S Gözübüyük
Ath Madrid
S S S T S
2–0
Full-time
Lazio
T S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Lazio
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,2
1,5
Scored
2,5
1,0
Conceded
0,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 60%
60%
60%
Points per game
2,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
80%
40%
Both score Ø 70%
80%
60%
Average goals
4,2
2,4
Scored
3,0
1,4
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,31 xG 0,88
57% Possession 43%
16 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

19. Sep -23 Lazio – Ath Madrid 1–1

Match report

Ath Madrid Lazio
1–0 A. Griezmann ⚽
Samuel Lino
6′
8′
🟨 Pedro
Mario Hermoso ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
39′
Half-time 1–0
M. Depay 🔁
↦ A. Griezmann
46′
Ç. Söyüncü 🔁
↦ J. Giménez
46′
José María Giménez 🟨
47′
47′
🟨 Adam Marušić
2–0 Samuel Lino ⚽
51′
58′
🔁 Felipe Anderson
↦ Pedro
58′
🔁 M. Lazzari
↦ A. Marušić
Koke 🔁
↦ A. Witsel
63′
Álvaro Morata 🔁
↦ Á. Correa
63′
63′
🔁 V. Castellanos
↦ C. Immobile
63′
🔁 D. Kamada
↦ Luis Alberto
César Azpilicueta 🔁
↦ S. Savić
68′
70′
🔁 L. Pellegrini
↦ E. Hysaj
72′
🟨 Mattéo Guendouzi
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Ath Madrid

3-5-2
13 J. Oblak G
15 S. Savić D
2 J. Giménez D
22 Hermoso D
16 N. Molina M
5 R. De Paul M
20 A. Witsel M
8 Saúl M
12 Samuel Lino M
7 A. Griezmann F
10 Á. Correa F
Bench (12)
9 M. Depay
4 Ç. Söyüncü
6 Koke
19 Álvaro Morata
3 César Azpilicueta
23 Reinildo
14 Marcos Llorente
25 Rodrigo Riquelme
17 Javi Galán
26 Aitor Gismera
1 I. Grbić
31 Antonio Gomis

Coach: D. Simeone

Lazio

4-3-3
94 I. Provedel G
77 A. Marušić D
15 N. Casale D
34 Mario Gila D
23 E. Hysaj D
8 M. Guendouzi M
5 M. Vecino M
10 Luis Alberto M
9 Pedro F
17 C. Immobile F
20 M. Zaccagni F
Bench (9)
7 Felipe Anderson
29 M. Lazzari
19 V. Castellanos
6 D. Kamada
3 L. Pellegrini
53 F. Magro
33 L. Sepe
32 D. Cataldi
52 M. Duțu

Coach: M. Sarri

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Gözübüyük · 171 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.