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Champions League
Referee: António Nobre
Salzburg
U T S S S
2–1
Full-time
Twente
T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salzburg Twente
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
5,3
4,0
Scored
3,3
2,7
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

66% Possession 34%
14 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 2
4 Offside 1
6 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Salzburg Twente
1–0 M. Kjærgaard ⚽
40′
Lucas Gourna-Douath 🟨
44′
Half-time 1–0
K. Piątkowski 🔁
↦ H. Blank
46′
57′
🔁 S. Lammers
↦ M. Kjølø
57′
🔁 M. Vlap
↦ S. Steijn
M. Diambou 🔁
↦ L. Gourna-Douath
59′
66′
🔁 S. Ltaief
↦ M. van Bergen
A. Daghim 🔁
↦ P. Ratkov
68′
80′
🔁 G. Besselink
↦ C. Eiting
80′
🔁 Y. Taha
↦ D. Rots
M. Yeo 🔁
↦ O. Gloukh
82′
N. Capaldo 🔁
↦ M. Bidstrup
83′
2–0 M. Kjærgaard ⚽
M. Yeo
85′
90′
⚽ M. Vlap 2–1
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Salzburg

4-3-3
1 J. Blaswich G
70 A. Dedić D
6 S. Baidoo D
4 H. Blank D
3 A. Terzić D
18 M. Bidstrup M
27 L. Gourna-Douath M
14 M. Kjærgaard M
45 D. Nene F
21 P. Ratkov F
30 O. Gloukh F
Bench (12)
91 K. Piątkowski
15 M. Diambou
28 A. Daghim
49 M. Yeo
7 N. Capaldo
23 R. Šimić
32 A. Forson
5 B. Okoh
41 J. Krumrey
92 S. Hamzić
8 D. Kameri
2 I. Van der Brempt

Coach: P. Lijnders

Twente

4-2-3-1
1 L. Unnerstall G
8 Y. Regeer D
2 M. Hilgers D
17 A. Van Hoorenbeeck D
34 A. Salah-Eddine D
4 M. Kjølø M
6 C. Eiting M
11 D. Rots M
14 S. Steijn M
7 M. van Bergen M
9 R. van Wolfswinkel F
Bench (12)
10 S. Lammers
18 M. Vlap
30 S. Ltaief
41 G. Besselink
19 Y. Taha
24 J. Mesbahi
39 M. Rots
5 B. Kuipers
38 M. Bruns
22 P. Tytoń
12 A. Sampsted
16 I. El Maach

Coach: J. Oosting

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

António Nobre · 138 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
29,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,35 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.