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Super League
Referee: O Grinfeeld
1–2
Full-time
PAOK
U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aris Thessalonikis PAOK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,7
3,3
Scored
1,2
2,2
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 35/39 matches
Win Ø 55%
46%
64%
Points per game
1,6
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
43%
67%
Both score Ø 49%
43%
54%
Average goals
2,6
3,2
Scored
1,4
2,3
Conceded
1,2
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

55% Possession 45%
16 Shots 5
3 Shots on target 2
7 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 2
2 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 15
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Aris Thessalonikis 5. · PAOK 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 AEK 39 25 10 4 +46 85
2 Olympiakos 39 26 5 8 +49 83
3 PAOK 39 25 6 8 +51 81
4 Panathinaikos 39 24 5 10 +46 77
5 Aris Thessalonikis 35 16 7 12 +8 55
6 Aris 36 16 7 13 +7 55
7 Asteras Tripolis 35 12 5 18 -15 41
8 Panserraikos 35 9 12 14 -17 39
9 Lamia 39 10 9 20 -36 39
10 OFI Crete 35 8 14 13 -14 38
11 Atromitos 35 8 13 14 -17 37
12 Panetolikos 35 9 9 17 -20 36
13 Volos NFC 35 8 10 17 -23 34
14 Kifisia 35 5 12 18 -34 27
15 Giannina 35 4 12 19 -31 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aris Thessalonikis PAOK
1′
🟨 Ioannis Michailidis
30′
Brandon Thomas 0–1
A. Živković
Martín Montoya 🟨
39′
Half-time 1–1
1–1 Loren Morón
M. Odubajo
47′
Birger Verstraete 🟨
55′
62′
Taison 1–2
Brandon Thomas
65′
🔁 M. Samatta
↦ Brandon Thomas
Manu García 🔁
↦ B. Verstraete
66′
66′
🔁 K. Despodov
↦ Taison
70′
🟨 Tomasz Kędziora
Á. Zamora 🔁
↦ K. Saverio
72′
77′
🟨 Giannis Konstantelias
78′
🟨 Ioannis Michailidis
78′
🟥 Ioannis Michailidis
80′
🔁 I. Näsberg
↦ G. Konstantelias
G. Fetfatzidis 🔁
↦ J. Jules
86′
F. Ferrari 🔁
↦ Martín Montoya
86′
K. Ansarifard 🔁
↦ M. Suleymanov
87′
Manu García 🟨
88′
Álvaro Zamora 🟨
93′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Aris Thessalonikis

4-3-3
23 Julián G
22 M. Odubajo D
4 Fabiano D
14 J. Brabec D
33 Martín Montoya D
28 B. Verstraete M
30 J. Jules M
16 V. Darida M
93 M. Suleymanov F
80 Loren Morón F
11 K. Saverio F
Bench (9)
6 Manu García
12 Á. Zamora
19 G. Fetfatzidis
3 F. Ferrari
17 K. Ansarifard
44 Fran Vélez
8 C. Doukouré
92 L. Rose
94 L. Choutesiotis

Coach: A. Mantzios

PAOK

4-2-3-1
42 D. Kotarski G
23 Joan Sastre D
16 T. Kędziora D
5 G. Michailidis D
21 A. Baba D
8 S. Meïté M
22 S. Schwab M
14 A. Živković M
7 G. Konstantelias M
11 Taison M
71 Brandon Thomas F
Bench (9)
33 M. Samatta
77 K. Despodov
3 I. Näsberg
88 Marcos Antônio
27 M. Ozdoev
10 T. Murg
20 Vieirinha
19 Jonny
18 Ž. Živković

Coach: R. Lucescu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

O Grinfeeld · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.