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Champions League
Referee: U Schnyder
Qarabag
T U T S S
1–2
Full-time
Ludogorets
T S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Qarabag Ludogorets
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
83%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
4,5
1,5
Scored
2,8
0,8
Conceded
1,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 2/4 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
50%
25%
Both score Ø 13%
0%
25%
Average goals
3,5
2,0
Scored
3,5
1,3
Conceded
0,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+3,5
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match report

Qarabag Ludogorets
Júlio Romão 🟨
11′
34′
🟨 Olivier Verdon
Juninho Vieira 🟨
41′
Half-time 0–0
49′
🟨 Caio Vidal
56′
Dinis Almeida 0–1
Son
61′
🔁 Rick
↦ B. Tekpetey
1–1 Juninho
64′
E. Cəfərquliyev 🔁
↦ T. Bayramov
67′
Matheus Silva 🔁
↦ M. Vešović
75′
H. Keyta 🔁
↦ Y. Benzia
75′
82′
🔁 I. Chochev
↦ J. Piotrowski
87′
Caio Vidal 1–2
Son
89′
🟨 Caio Vidal
89′
🟥 Caio Vidal
93′
🟨 Deroy Duarte
94′
🔁 E. Kurtulus
↦ K. Duah
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Qarabag

4-2-3-1
97 F. Buntić G
29 M. Vešović D
13 B. Mustafazadə D
81 K. Medina D
27 T. Bayramov D
6 Júlio Romão M
8 M. Janković M
15 Leandro Andrade M
7 Y. Benzia M
10 A. Zoubir M
18 Juninho F
Bench (11)
44 E. Cəfərquliyev
2 Matheus Silva
17 H. Keyta
12 S. Məmmədzadə
90 N. Axundzadə
19 R. Xhixha
66 Patrick Andrade
30 A. Hüseynov
24 A. Isaev
55 B. Hüseynov
20 R. Almeyda

Coach: Q. Qurbanov

Ludogorets

4-3-3
39 H. Bonmann G
17 Son D
4 Dinis Almeida D
24 O. Verdon D
3 A. Nedyalkov D
6 J. Piotrowski M
23 Deroy Duarte M
30 Pedro Naressi M
37 B. Tekpetey M
9 K. Duah F
11 Caio Vidal M
Bench (12)
7 Rick
18 I. Chochev
15 E. Kurtulus
10 M. Tissera
8 T. Nedelev
14 D. Gropper
82 I. Yordanov
16 A. Witry
1 S. Padt
67 D. Hristov
90 S. Delev
12 Rwan Cruz

Coach: G. Dermendzhiev

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

U Schnyder · 155 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.