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Conference League
Referee: H Osmers
PAOK
S S T T T
5–1
Full-time
Dinamo Zagreb
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PAOK Dinamo Zagreb
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 17%
17%
17%
Average goals
2,0
1,8
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
0,8
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 13/9 matches
Win Ø 63%
69%
56%
Points per game
2,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
77%
22%
Both score Ø 42%
62%
22%
Average goals
3,3
2,2
Scored
2,2
1,6
Conceded
1,1
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,9
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

3,03 xG 0,96
50% Possession 50%
18 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 6
0 Offside 3
7 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

7. Mar -24 Dinamo Zagreb – PAOK 2–0

Match report

PAOK Dinamo Zagreb
14′
🟨 Martin Baturina
1–0 A. Baba ⚽
K. Koulierakis
27′
1–1 P. Sučić ⚽
own goal
33′
2–1 Brandon Thomas ⚽
Taison
42′
Half-time 2–2
49′
⚽ A. Hoxha 2–2
Konstantinos Koulierakis 🟨
60′
K. Despodov 🔁
↦ Taison
67′
3–2 K. Koulierakis ⚽
S. Schwab
72′
74′
🔁 T. Kaneko
↦ D. Špikić
M. Samatta 🔁
↦ Brandon Thomas
77′
Jonny 🔁
↦ Vieirinha
78′
T. Murg 🔁
↦ G. Konstantelias
78′
80′
🔁 G. Vidović
↦ A. Hoxha
80′
🔁 T. Ogiwara
↦ M. Perković
80′
🔁 S. Kulenović
↦ P. Sučić
M. Ozdoev 🔁
↦ S. Schwab
82′
87′
🟨 Josip Mišić
4–2 A. Živković ⚽
88′
91′
🟨 Takuya Ogiwara
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

PAOK

4-2-3-1
42 D. Kotarski G
20 Vieirinha D
16 T. Kędziora D
4 K. Koulierakis D
21 A. Baba D
8 S. Meïté M
22 S. Schwab M
14 A. Živković M
7 G. Konstantelias M
11 Taison M
71 Brandon Thomas F
Bench (11)
77 K. Despodov
33 M. Samatta
19 Jonny
10 T. Murg
27 M. Ozdoev
76 P. Panagiotou
95 S. Tzimas
6 T. Tsingaras
18 Ž. Živković
64 C. Talichmanidis
88 Marcos Antônio

Coach: R. Lucescu

Dinamo Zagreb

4-2-3-1
33 I. Nevistić G
13 S. Ristovski D
6 M. Bernauer D
28 K. Théophile-Catherine D
39 M. Perković D
25 P. Sučić M
27 J. Mišić M
77 D. Špikić M
10 M. Baturina M
20 A. Hoxha M
9 B. Petković F
Bench (11)
30 T. Kaneko
72 G. Vidović
3 T. Ogiwara
17 S. Kulenović
36 L. Vrbančić
4 B. Šutalo
15 M. Živković
23 T. Halilović
45 I. Cvetko
50 D. Klarin
1 D. Zagorac

Coach: S. Jakirović

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

H Osmers · 139 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.