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Champions League
Referee: M Guida
PSV Eindhoven
S S T S S
1–1
Full-time
Sp Lisbon
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven Sp Lisbon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 92%
83%
100%
Points per game
2,5
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
3,8
3,0
Scored
3,0
3,0
Conceded
0,8
0,0
Goal diff per game
+2,2
+3,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
4,0
2,0
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
3,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,53 xG 1,31
57% Possession 43%
18 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
0 Corners 4
2 Offside 0
18 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

PSV Eindhoven Sp Lisbon
1–0 J. Schouten
15′
Mauro Júnior 🟨
22′
32′
🔁 Eduardo Quaresma
↦ O. Diomande
Half-time 1–0
52′
🔁 Daniel Bragança
↦ Geny Catamo
53′
🟨 Geovany Quenda
Malik Tillman 🟨
63′
R. Karsdorp 🔁
↦ Mauro Júnior
65′
N. Lang 🔁
↦ I. Saibari
66′
R. Ledezma 🔁
↦ G. Til
78′
79′
🔁 C. Harder
↦ Nuno Santos
80′
🔁 M. Araújo
↦ Trincão
83′
Daniel Bragança 1–1
85′
🟨 Daniel Bragança
Noa Lang 🟨
87′
R. Pepi 🔁
↦ J. Bakayoko
92′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

PSV Eindhoven

4-3-3
1 W. Benítez G
17 Mauro Júnior D
6 R. Flamingo D
18 O. Boscagli D
32 M. Dams D
22 J. Schouten M
20 G. Til M
34 I. Saibari M
11 J. Bakayoko F
9 L. de Jong F
7 M. Tillman F
Bench (11)
2 R. Karsdorp
10 N. Lang
37 R. Ledezma
14 R. Pepi
21 C. Driouech
24 N. Schiks
26 I. Babadi
4 A. Obispo
28 T. Land
39 A. Nagalo
16 J. Drommel

Coach: P. Bosz

Sp Lisbon

3-4-2-1
1 F. Israel G
6 Z. Debast D
26 O. Diomande D
25 Gonçalo Inácio D
57 Geovany Quenda M
5 H. Morita M
42 M. Hjulmand M
11 Nuno Santos M
17 Trincão F
21 Geny Catamo F
9 V. Gyökeres F
Bench (10)
72 Eduardo Quaresma
23 Daniel Bragança
19 C. Harder
20 M. Araújo
47 Ricardo Esgaio
22 Iván Fresneda
13 V. Kovačević
78 Mauro Couto
41 Diego Callai
80 Luís Gomes

Coach: Rúben Amorim

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Guida · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.