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Champions League
Referee: D Rumšas
Sp Lisbon
S S S S S
2–0
Full-time
Lille
S S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Lisbon Lille
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
4,0
2,3
Scored
3,3
1,3
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+2,7
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,62 xG 0,41
50% Possession 50%
18 Shots 3
5 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 2
2 Offside 6
17 Free kicks against 18
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1

Match report

Sp Lisbon Lille
Matheus Reis 🔁
↦ Gonçalo Inácio
13′
21′
🟨 Angel Gomes
1–0 V. Gyökeres ⚽
Pote
38′
40′
🟨 Angel Gomes
40′
🟨 Jonathan David
40′
🟥 Angel Gomes
Half-time 1–0
Hidemasa Morita 🟨
46′
Daniel Bragança 🔁
↦ H. Morita
46′
56′
🟨 Benjamin André
64′
🔁 A. Bouaddi
↦ A. Mandi
64′
🔁 M. Fernandez-Pardo
↦ J. David
64′
🔁 Tiago Santos
↦ T. Meunier
2–0 Z. Debast ⚽
Daniel Bragança
65′
71′
🔁 R. Cabella
↦ O. Sahraoui
72′
🟨 Ayyoub Bouaddi
M. Araújo 🔁
↦ Geovany Quenda
73′
82′
🔁 G. Gudmundsson
↦ M. Bakker
Zeno Debast 🟨
86′
C. Harder 🔁
↦ Trincão
88′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Sp Lisbon

3-4-2-1
1 F. Israel G
6 Z. Debast D
26 O. Diomande D
25 Gonçalo Inácio D
57 Geovany Quenda M
42 M. Hjulmand M
5 H. Morita M
21 Geny Catamo M
17 Trincão F
8 Pote F
9 V. Gyökeres F
Bench (10)
2 Matheus Reis
23 Daniel Bragança
20 M. Araújo
19 C. Harder
41 Diego Callai
22 Iván Fresneda
11 Nuno Santos
10 M. Edwards
99 Francisco Silva
47 Ricardo Esgaio

Coach: Rúben Amorim

Lille

5-4-1
30 L. Chevalier G
12 T. Meunier D
18 B. Diakité D
2 A. Mandi D
4 Alexsandro Ribeiro D
20 M. Bakker D
23 E. Zhegrova M
21 B. André M
8 A. Gomes M
11 O. Sahraoui M
9 J. David F
Bench (9)
32 A. Bouaddi
19 M. Fernandez-Pardo
22 Tiago Santos
10 R. Cabella
5 G. Gudmundsson
36 O. Touré
1 V. Mannone
16 M. Caillard
27 M. Bayo

Coach: B. Génésio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Rumšas · 26 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,38 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.