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Champions League
Referee: A Taylor
Salzburg
U T T U S
0–4
Full-time
Brest
S T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salzburg Brest
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 5/1 matches
Win Ø 70%
40%
100%
Points per game
1,6
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 80%
60%
100%
Both score Ø 80%
60%
100%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
1,6
2,0
Conceded
1,6
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,62 xG 2,02
52% Possession 48%
15 Shots 13
7 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 7
4 Corners 0
3 Offside 0
17 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Salzburg Brest
Samson Baidoo ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
12′
15′
🟨 Julien Le Cardinal
Oscar Gloukh 🟨
18′
24′
⚽ A. Sima 0–1
L. Ajorque
26′
🟨 Massadio Haïdara
Half-time 0–1
D. Nene 🔁
↦ B. Clark
61′
N. Capaldo 🔁
↦ M. Bidstrup
61′
Samson Baidoo 🟨
62′
63′
🔁 Mama Baldé
↦ R. Del Castillo
63′
🔁 J. Martin
↦ E. Fernandes
66′
⚽ M. Camara 0–2
70′
⚽ A. Sima 0–3
75′
🔁 Mathias Pereira Lage
↦ A. Sima
75′
🔁 K. Doumbia
↦ M. Camara
75′
⚽ Mathias Pereira Lage 0–4
Mama Baldé
M. Diambou 🔁
↦ L. Gourna-Douath
77′
Stefan Bajčetić 🔁
↦ L. Morgalla
77′
H. Blank 🔁
↦ S. Baidoo
77′
85′
🔁 R. Faivre
↦ L. Ajorque
Adam Daghim 🟨
86′
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Salzburg

4-3-3
1 J. Blaswich G
39 L. Morgalla D
91 K. Piątkowski D
6 S. Baidoo D
70 A. Dedić D
18 M. Bidstrup M
27 L. Gourna-Douath M
10 B. Clark M
28 A. Daghim F
19 K. Konaté F
30 O. Gloukh F
Bench (10)
45 D. Nene
7 N. Capaldo
15 M. Diambou
8 Stefan Bajčetić
4 H. Blank
49 M. Yeo
5 B. Okoh
92 S. Hamzić
36 J. Mellberg
24 A. Schlager

Coach: P. Lijnders

Brest

4-3-3
40 M. Bizot G
7 K. Lala D
25 J. Le Cardinal D
44 S. Coulibaly D
22 M. Haïdara D
45 M. Camara M
6 E. Fernandes M
8 H. Magnetti M
10 R. Del Castillo F
19 L. Ajorque F
17 A. Sima F
Bench (11)
14 Mama Baldé
28 J. Martin
26 Mathias Pereira Lage
9 K. Doumbia
21 R. Faivre
5 B. Chardonnet
11 A. Camblan
30 G. Coudert
3 A. Ndiaye
34 I. Salah
50 N. Jauny

Coach: E. Roy

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Taylor · 215 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.