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Champions League
Referee: M Balakin
Sparta Praha
S S S U T
1–2
Full-time
Brest
S U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sparta Praha Brest
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,3
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 9/3 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
44%
67%
Both score Ø 56%
44%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
2,0
2,3
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,52 xG 1,49
50% Possession 50%
6 Shots 18
1 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 4
6 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 6
3 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Sparta Praha Brest
23′
🟨 Ludovic Ajorque
37′
⚽ E. Fernandes 0–1
Half-time 0–1
K. Daněk 🔁
↦ Albion Rrahmani
64′
Matěj Ryneš 🟨
69′
74′
🔁 Mathias Pereira Lage
↦ Mama Baldé
I. Tuci 🔁
↦ J. Pešek
78′
79′
⚽ K. Kairinen 1–1
own goal
80′
🔁 I. Salah
↦ K. Doumbia
81′
🔁 J. Martin
↦ M. Camara
81′
🔁 H. Magnetti
↦ E. Fernandes
M. Solbakken 🔁
↦ K. Kairinen
85′
L. Sadílek 🔁
↦ M. Ryneš
85′
M. Suchomel 🔁
↦ Q. Laçi
85′
2–1 V. Olatunji ⚽
L. Sadílek
92′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Sparta Praha

3-4-3
1 P. Vindahl G
41 M. Vitík D
27 F. Panák D
33 E. Cobbaut D
28 T. Wiesner M
20 Q. Laçi M
6 K. Kairinen M
32 M. Ryneš M
21 J. Pešek F
7 V. Olatunji F
10 Albion Rrahmani F
Bench (11)
13 K. Daněk
11 I. Tuci
4 M. Solbakken
18 L. Sadílek
2 M. Suchomel
24 V. Vorel
8 D. Pavelka
44 J. Surovčík
5 M. Ross
54 L. Penxa
38 D. Rus

Coach: L. Friis

Brest

4-3-2-1
40 M. Bizot G
7 K. Lala D
5 B. Chardonnet D
44 S. Coulibaly D
22 M. Haïdara D
45 M. Camara M
20 P. Lees-Melou M
6 E. Fernandes M
14 Mama Baldé M
9 K. Doumbia M
19 L. Ajorque F
Bench (12)
26 Mathias Pereira Lage
34 I. Salah
28 J. Martin
8 H. Magnetti
10 R. Del Castillo
23 J. Amavi
3 A. Ndiaye
50 N. Jauny
21 R. Faivre
30 G. Coudert
25 J. Le Cardinal
11 A. Camblan

Coach: E. Roy

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Balakin · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
16,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.