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Champions League
Referee: A Taylor
Club Brugge
S U S S S
2–1
Full-time
Sp Lisbon
S S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Club Brugge Sp Lisbon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
4,2
4,5
Scored
3,2
2,7
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+2,2
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 50%
40%
60%
Points per game
1,4
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
40%
40%
Both score Ø 50%
40%
60%
Average goals
2,2
3,4
Scored
0,8
2,0
Conceded
1,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

0,71 xG 1,15
44% Possession 56%
9 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 2
0 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 0
0 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 13
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Club Brugge Sp Lisbon
3′
⚽ Geny Catamo 0–1
0–2 Eduardo Quaresma ⚽
own goal
24′
Andreas Skov Olsen 🟨
26′
29′
ℹ️ Maximiliano Araújo
VAR: Penalty cancelled
34′
🟨 Viktor Gyökeres
Christos Tzolis 🟨
43′
45′
🔁 J. St. Juste
↦ Eduardo Quaresma
Half-time 0–2
Raphael Onyedika 🟨
49′
50′
🟨 Jeremiah St. Juste
Simon Mignolet 🟨
52′
G. Nilsson 🔁
↦ Ferran Jutglà
64′
C. Talbi 🔁
↦ A. Skov Olsen
65′
78′
🟨 Maximiliano Araújo
C. Nielsen 🔁
↦ C. Tzolis
81′
81′
🔁 Ricardo Esgaio
↦ M. Araújo
83′
🟨 Morten Hjulmand
1–2 C. Nielsen ⚽
H. Vanaken
84′
87′
🔁 C. Harder
↦ Geovany Quenda
K. Sabbe 🔁
↦ M. De Cuyper
92′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Club Brugge

4-2-3-1
22 S. Mignolet G
65 J. Seys D
4 J. Ordoñez D
44 B. Mechele D
55 M. De Cuyper D
15 R. Onyedika M
30 A. Jashari M
7 A. Skov Olsen M
20 H. Vanaken M
8 C. Tzolis M
9 Ferran Jutglà F
Bench (9)
19 G. Nilsson
68 C. Talbi
27 C. Nielsen
64 K. Sabbe
58 J. Spileers
17 R. Vermant
29 N. Jackers
10 H. Vetlesen
2 Z. Romero

Coach: N. Hayen

Sp Lisbon

3-4-2-1
1 F. Israel G
72 Eduardo Quaresma D
26 O. Diomande D
2 Matheus Reis D
21 Geny Catamo M
42 M. Hjulmand M
52 João Simões M
20 M. Araújo M
17 Trincão F
57 Geovany Quenda F
9 V. Gyökeres F
Bench (11)
3 J. St. Juste
47 Ricardo Esgaio
19 C. Harder
13 V. Kovačević
6 Z. Debast
41 Diego Callai
50 Alexandre Brito
78 Mauro Couto
81 Henrique Arreiol
10 M. Edwards
22 Iván Fresneda

Coach: João Pereira

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Taylor · 215 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.