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Champions League
Referee: B Bastien
Girona
S T U U T
0–1
Full-time
Liverpool
S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Girona Liverpool
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,3
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,3
3,5
Scored
1,2
2,7
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 60%
20%
100%
Points per game
0,6
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
40%
40%
Both score Ø 20%
20%
20%
Average goals
2,6
2,6
Scored
0,8
2,4
Conceded
1,8
0,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+2,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,12 xG 1,84
38% Possession 62%
13 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 7
4 Blocked shots 3
6 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 8
3 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 8
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Girona Liverpool
Half-time 0–0
53′
🟨 Luis Díaz
Oriol Romeu 🟨
55′
61′
ℹ️ Luis Díaz
VAR: Penalty confirmed
63′
⚽ Mohamed Salah 0–1
Portu 🔁
↦ Bryan Gil
71′
71′
🔁 C. Gakpo
↦ D. Núñez
C. Stuani 🔁
↦ A. Danjuma
72′
Iván Martín 🔁
↦ D. van de Beek
76′
76′
🔁 H. Elliott
↦ C. Jones
J. Solís 🔁
↦ D. Blind
77′
79′
🟨 Joe Gomez
Alejandro Francés 🟨
87′
89′
🔁 W. Endō
↦ L. Díaz
Portu 🟨
93′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Girona

4-2-3-1
13 P. Gazzaniga G
16 Alejandro Francés D
15 Juanpe D
18 L. Krejčí D
17 D. Blind D
6 D. van de Beek M
14 Oriol Romeu M
20 Bryan Gil M
10 Y. Asprilla M
3 Miguel Gutiérrez M
11 A. Danjuma F
Bench (12)
24 Portu
7 C. Stuani
23 Iván Martín
22 J. Solís
25 Pau López
29 Kim Min-Su
5 David López
9 Abel Ruiz
31 Jastin García
4 Arnau Martínez
28 Silvi
42 Lucas García

Coach: Míchel Sánchez

Liverpool

4-3-3
1 Alisson Becker G
66 T. Alexander-Arnold D
2 J. Gomez D
4 V. van Dijk D
26 A. Robertson D
8 D. Szoboszlai M
38 R. Gravenberch M
17 C. Jones M
11 Mohamed Salah F
9 D. Núñez F
7 L. Díaz F
Bench (8)
18 C. Gakpo
19 H. Elliott
3 W. Endō
62 C. Kelleher
56 V. Jaroš
78 J. Quansah
53 J. McConnell
77 J. Norris

Coach: A. Slot

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

B Bastien · 180 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.