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Champions League
Referee: S Vinčić
Leverkusen
S S S S S
1–0
Full-time
Inter
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leverkusen Inter
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 83%
83%
83%
Points per game
2,7
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,5
2,3
Scored
2,7
2,0
Conceded
0,8
0,3
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 70%
60%
80%
Points per game
2,0
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
60%
20%
Both score Ø 10%
20%
0%
Average goals
3,2
1,4
Scored
2,2
1,4
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+1,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,14 xG 0,29
61% Possession 39%
17 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 0
5 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 1
0 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 7
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Leverkusen Inter
25′
🟨 Hakan Çalhanoğlu
27′
🟨 Carlos Augusto
Half-time 0–0
56′
🔁 F. Dimarco
↦ Carlos Augusto
66′
🔁 L. Martínez
↦ M. Thuram
66′
🔁 N. Barella
↦ D. Frattesi
66′
🔁 K. Asllani
↦ H. Çalhanoğlu
M. Terrier 🔁
↦ N. Tella
83′
85′
🔁 M. Arnautović
↦ M. Taremi
1–0 N. Mukiele ⚽
M. Terrier
90′
Aleix García 🔁
↦ Álex Grimaldo
94′
R. Andrich 🔁
↦ F. Wirtz
94′
95′
🟨 Nicolò Barella
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Leverkusen

4-2-3-1
17 M. Kovář G
23 N. Mukiele D
4 J. Tah D
12 E. Tapsoba D
3 P. Hincapié D
25 E. Palacios M
34 G. Xhaka M
30 J. Frimpong M
10 F. Wirtz M
20 Álex Grimaldo M
19 N. Tella F
Bench (10)
11 M. Terrier
24 Aleix García
8 R. Andrich
40 F. Onyeka
44 J. Belocian
29 A. Stepanov
13 Arthur
1 L. Hrádecký
36 N. Lomb
14 P. Schick

Coach: Xabi Alonso

Inter

3-5-2
1 Y. Sommer G
31 Y. Bisseck D
6 S. de Vrij D
95 A. Bastoni D
36 M. Darmian M
16 D. Frattesi M
20 H. Çalhanoğlu M
7 P. Zieliński M
30 Carlos Augusto M
9 M. Thuram F
99 M. Taremi F
Bench (10)
32 F. Dimarco
10 L. Martínez
23 N. Barella
21 K. Asllani
8 M. Arnautović
40 A. Calligaris
17 T. Buchanan
22 H. Mkhitaryan
13 Josep Martínez
50 M. Aidoo

Coach: S. Inzaghi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Vinčić · 42 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.