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Champions League
Referee: I Peljto
Brest
S T T S S
0–3
Full-time
Paris SG
U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brest Paris SG
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,5
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
3,0
4,5
Scored
1,2
3,3
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+2,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,6
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
63%
50%
Both score Ø 44%
38%
50%
Average goals
2,6
2,9
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
1,4
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

0,96 xG 2,72
38% Possession 62%
16 Shots 16
2 Shots on target 7
11 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

1. Feb -25 Brest – Paris SG 2–5 14. Sep -24 Paris SG – Brest 3–1 7. Feb -24 Paris SG – Brest 3–1 28. Jan -24 Paris SG – Brest 2–2 29. Oct -23 Brest – Paris SG 2–3

Match report

Brest Paris SG
18′
ℹ️ Ousmane Dembélé
VAR: Penalty confirmed
21′
⚽ Vitinha 0–1
45′
⚽ O. Dembélé 0–2
A. Hakimi
Half-time 0–2
52′
ℹ️ Désiré Doué
VAR: Goal cancelled
Mama Baldé 🔁
↦ A. Sima
64′
E. Fernandes 🔁
↦ H. Magnetti
64′
66′
⚽ O. Dembélé 0–3
67′
🔁 K. Kvaratskhelia
↦ D. Doué
70′
🟨 Bradley Barcola
K. Doumbia 🔁
↦ R. Faivre
72′
Brendan Chardonnet 🟨
74′
75′
🔁 Lee Kang-In
↦ B. Barcola
82′
🔁 Gonçalo Ramos
↦ O. Dembélé
Mathias Pereira Lage 🔁
↦ M. Camara
83′
I. Salah 🔁
↦ P. Lees-Melou
83′
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Brest

4-3-1-2
40 M. Bizot G
7 K. Lala D
5 B. Chardonnet D
44 S. Coulibaly D
22 M. Haïdara D
45 M. Camara M
20 P. Lees-Melou M
8 H. Magnetti M
21 R. Faivre M
19 L. Ajorque F
17 A. Sima F
Bench (10)
14 Mama Baldé
6 E. Fernandes
9 K. Doumbia
26 Mathias Pereira Lage
34 I. Salah
30 G. Coudert
12 L. Zogbé
3 A. Ndiaye
50 N. Jauny
25 J. Le Cardinal

Coach: E. Roy

Paris SG

4-3-3
1 G. Donnarumma G
2 A. Hakimi D
5 Marquinhos D
51 W. Pacho D
25 Nuno Mendes D
87 João Neves M
17 Vitinha M
8 Fabián Ruiz M
14 D. Doué F
10 O. Dembélé F
29 B. Barcola F
Bench (9)
7 K. Kvaratskhelia
19 Lee Kang-In
9 Gonçalo Ramos
80 Arnau Tenas
21 L. Hernández
3 P. Kimpembe
35 Beraldo
39 M. Safonov
24 S. Mayulu

Coach: Luis Enrique

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

I Peljto · 38 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.