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Champions League
Referee: E Eskås
Sp Lisbon
T S U S U
0–3
Full-time
Dortmund
T U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Lisbon Dortmund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,7
3,2
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 51%
38%
63%
Points per game
1,4
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
50%
88%
Both score Ø 69%
75%
63%
Average goals
3,1
4,3
Scored
1,6
2,8
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,73 xG 1,87
46% Possession 54%
13 Shots 16
6 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 6
4 Corners 8
3 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Sp Lisbon Dortmund
Half-time 0–0
V. Gyökeres 🔁
↦ C. Harder
59′
60′
⚽ S. Guirassy 0–1
J. Brandt
Daniel Bragança 🔁
↦ Matheus Reis
62′
H. Morita 🔁
↦ João Simões
62′
65′
🔁 M. Beier
↦ J. Gittens
66′
🟨 Serhou Guirassy
68′
⚽ P. Groß 0–2
S. Guirassy
Biel 🔁
↦ Z. Debast
73′
Eduardo Quaresma 🔁
↦ Iván Fresneda
73′
Francisco Trincão 🟨
78′
82′
⚽ K. Adeyemi 0–3
J. Brandt
86′
🔁 C. Chukwuemeka
↦ K. Adeyemi
86′
🔁 J. Duranville
↦ J. Brandt
93′
🔁 S. Özcan
↦ P. Groß
93′
🔁 N. Süle
↦ D. Svensson
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Sp Lisbon

4-2-3-1
24 Rui Silva G
22 Iván Fresneda D
26 O. Diomande D
3 J. St. Juste D
2 Matheus Reis D
6 Z. Debast M
52 João Simões M
57 Geovany Quenda M
17 Trincão M
20 M. Araújo M
19 C. Harder F
Bench (12)
9 V. Gyökeres
23 Daniel Bragança
5 H. Morita
30 Biel
72 Eduardo Quaresma
25 Gonçalo Inácio
90 Afonso Moreira
47 Ricardo Esgaio
1 F. Israel
67 Lucas Anjos
50 Alexandre Brito
41 Diego Callai

Coach: Rui Borges

Dortmund

4-2-3-1
1 G. Kobel G
26 J. Ryerson D
23 E. Can D
4 N. Schlotterbeck D
24 D. Svensson D
20 M. Sabitzer M
13 P. Groß M
27 K. Adeyemi M
10 J. Brandt M
43 J. Gittens M
9 S. Guirassy F
Bench (10)
14 M. Beier
17 C. Chukwuemeka
16 J. Duranville
6 S. Özcan
25 N. Süle
2 Yan Couto
35 M. Lotka
3 W. Anton
33 A. Meyer
7 G. Reyna

Coach: N. Kovač

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

E Eskås · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.