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Champions League
Referee: D Massa
Stuttgart
S S S S T
1–4
Full-time
Paris SG
S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stuttgart Paris SG
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
2,5
3,7
Scored
1,7
2,3
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 43%
43%
43%
Points per game
1,4
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
57%
43%
Both score Ø 57%
71%
43%
Average goals
3,6
2,6
Scored
1,7
1,4
Conceded
1,9
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

0,77 xG 2,41
42% Possession 58%
10 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 6
5 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 8
3 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Stuttgart Paris SG
6′
⚽ B. Barcola 0–1
D. Doué
17′
⚽ O. Dembélé 0–2
B. Barcola
18′
ℹ️ Bradley Barcola
VAR: Goal confirmed
35′
⚽ O. Dembélé 0–3
João Neves
Half-time 0–3
Angelo Stiller 🟨
53′
54′
⚽ O. Dembélé 0–4
A. Hakimi
E. Demirović 🔁
↦ D. Undav
60′
60′
🔁 Lee Kang-In
↦ D. Doué
L. Stergiou 🔁
↦ J. Vagnoman
61′
66′
🟨 João Neves
Atakan Karazor 🟨
70′
F. Rieder 🔁
↦ A. Stiller
71′
A. Chase 🔁
↦ A. Al Dakhil
71′
71′
🔁 Fabián Ruiz
↦ A. Hakimi
71′
🔁 Gonçalo Ramos
↦ B. Barcola
71′
🔁 Beraldo
↦ L. Hernández
77′
🔁 S. Mayulu
↦ João Neves
0–5 W. Pacho ⚽
own goal
77′
Y. Keitel 🔁
↦ J. Leweling
78′
Full-time 0–5

Line-ups

Stuttgart

4-2-3-1
1 F. Bredlow G
4 J. Vagnoman D
2 A. Al Dakhil D
24 J. Chabot D
7 M. Mittelstädt D
16 A. Karazor M
6 A. Stiller M
27 C. Führich M
8 E. Millot M
18 J. Leweling M
26 D. Undav F
Bench (9)
9 E. Demirović
20 L. Stergiou
32 F. Rieder
45 A. Chase
5 Y. Keitel
41 D. Seimen
15 P. Stenzel
47 Jarzinho Malanga
52 E. Bujupi

Coach: S. Hoeneß

Paris SG

4-3-3
1 G. Donnarumma G
2 A. Hakimi D
5 Marquinhos D
51 W. Pacho D
21 L. Hernández D
87 João Neves M
17 Vitinha M
33 W. Zaïre-Emery M
14 D. Doué F
10 O. Dembélé F
29 B. Barcola F
Bench (10)
19 Lee Kang-In
8 Fabián Ruiz
9 Gonçalo Ramos
35 Beraldo
24 S. Mayulu
3 P. Kimpembe
11 Marco Asensio
39 M. Safonov
48 A. Tape
80 Arnau Tenas

Coach: Luis Enrique

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Massa · 154 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.