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Champions League
Referee: M Mariani
Monaco
S S T S T
0–1
Full-time
Benfica
T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Monaco Benfica
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,8
4,8
Scored
1,7
2,8
Conceded
2,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,6
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
75%
63%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,3
3,5
Scored
1,6
2,0
Conceded
1,6
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,39 xG 2,17
44% Possession 56%
6 Shots 23
3 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 10
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 7
0 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 14
4 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

27. Nov -24 Monaco – Benfica 2–3

Match report

Monaco Benfica
16′
🟨 Álvaro Carreras
Mutassim Al Musrati 🟨
41′
Half-time 0–1
48′
⚽ V. Pavlidis 0–1
Mutassim Al Musrati 🟨
52′
Mutassim Al Musrati 🟥
52′
56′
🟨 Florentino Luís
S. Magassa 🔁
↦ M. Biereth
57′
E. Ben Seghir 🔁
↦ A. Golovin
67′
67′
🔁 Á. Di María
↦ Tomás Araújo
67′
🔁 L. Barreiro
↦ Florentino
T. Minamino 🔁
↦ M. Akliouche
68′
78′
🔁 A. Belotti
↦ V. Pavlidis
78′
🔁 Z. Amdouni
↦ A. Schjelderup
Vanderson 🟨
79′
86′
🔁 Arthur Cabral
↦ Á. Di María
Denis Zakaria 🟨
90′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Monaco

4-2-3-1
1 R. Majecki G
2 Vanderson D
5 T. Kehrer D
22 M. Salisu D
27 K. Diatta D
6 D. Zakaria M
8 Al Musrati M
11 M. Akliouche M
36 B. Embolo M
10 A. Golovin M
14 M. Biereth F
Bench (12)
88 S. Magassa
7 E. Ben Seghir
18 T. Minamino
41 L. Michal
50 Y. Lienard
28 M. Coulibaly
21 G. Ilenikhena
20 K. Ouattara
12 Caio Henrique
16 P. Köhn
15 L. Camara
37 E. Diop

Coach: A. Hütter

Benfica

4-3-3
1 A. Trubin G
44 Tomás Araújo D
4 António Silva D
30 N. Otamendi D
3 Álvaro Fernández D
8 F. Aursnes M
61 Florentino M
10 O. Kökçü M
17 K. Aktürkoğlu F
14 V. Pavlidis F
21 A. Schjelderup F
Bench (12)
11 Á. Di María
18 L. Barreiro
19 A. Belotti
7 Z. Amdouni
9 Arthur Cabral
81 A. Bajrami
25 G. Prestianni
71 Leandro Santos
24 Samuel Soares
75 André Gomes
26 S. Dahl
60 Nuno Félix

Coach: Bruno Lage

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Mariani · 156 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.