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Champions League
Referee: José Sánchez
Feyenoord
S T T T S
1–0
Full-time
Milan
S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Feyenoord Milan
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,3
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 57%
50%
63%
Points per game
1,6
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 88%
100%
75%
Both score Ø 75%
75%
75%
Average goals
4,9
3,1
Scored
2,3
1,8
Conceded
2,6
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,50 xG 0,57
46% Possession 54%
11 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 4
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 6
4 Offside 5
8 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Feyenoord Milan
1–0 Igor Paixão ⚽
G. Smal
3′
Half-time 1–0
J. Carranza 🔁
↦ A. Ueda
46′
51′
🟨 Malick Thiaw
Gijs Smal 🟨
57′
60′
🔁 F. Tomori
↦ M. Thiaw
60′
🔁 S. Chukwueze
↦ C. Pulišić
Antoni Milambo 🟨
62′
Hugo Bueno 🔁
↦ G. Smal
70′
I. Osman 🔁
↦ Q. Timber
79′
J. Mitchell 🔁
↦ G. Read
79′
83′
🔁 F. Camarda
↦ Rafael Leão
83′
🔁 T. Abraham
↦ S. Giménez
L. Ivanušec 🔁
↦ Igor Paixão
85′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Feyenoord

4-3-3
22 T. Wellenreuther G
26 G. Read D
3 T. Beelen D
33 D. Hancko D
5 G. Smal D
7 J. Moder M
27 A. Milambo M
8 Q. Timber M
23 A. Hadj Moussa F
9 A. Ueda F
14 Igor Paixão F
Bench (11)
19 J. Carranza
16 Hugo Bueno
38 I. Osman
20 J. Mitchell
17 L. Ivanušec
44 T. van den Elshout
25 S. 't Zand
48 D. Giersthove
49 Z. Redmond
21 P. Andreev
64 I. Ka

Coach: P. Bosschaart

Milan

4-2-3-1
16 M. Maignan G
32 K. Walker D
28 M. Thiaw D
31 S. Pavlović D
19 T. Hernández D
29 Y. Fofana M
14 T. Reijnders M
11 C. Pulišić M
79 João Félix M
10 Rafael Leão M
7 S. Giménez F
Bench (9)
23 F. Tomori
21 S. Chukwueze
73 F. Camarda
90 T. Abraham
96 L. Torriani
46 M. Gabbia
33 D. Bartesaghi
42 F. Terracciano
57 M. Sportiello

Coach: Sérgio Conceição

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

José Sánchez · 156 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.