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Champions League
Referee: H Meler
Club Brugge
U U T U S
2–1
Full-time
Atalanta
S U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Club Brugge Atalanta
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,3
Scored
1,3
2,5
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 44%
38%
50%
Points per game
1,4
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
50%
63%
Both score Ø 44%
50%
38%
Average goals
2,3
3,3
Scored
0,9
2,5
Conceded
1,4
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,53 xG 1,05
54% Possession 46%
11 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 2
0 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Club Brugge Atalanta
1–0 Ferran Jutglà ⚽
C. Talbi
15′
41′
⚽ M. Pašalić 1–1
D. Zappacosta
Half-time 1–1
63′
🔁 L. Samardžić
↦ M. Pašalić
63′
🔁 J. Cuadrado
↦ R. Bellanova
G. Nilsson 🔁
↦ C. Tzolis
70′
71′
🔁 M. Brescianini
↦ M. Retegui
71′
🔁 R. Tolói
↦ S. Posch
H. Vetlesen 🔁
↦ Ferran Jutglà
86′
H. Siquet 🔁
↦ C. Talbi
86′
86′
🔁 M. Palestra
↦ D. Zappacosta
91′
🟨 Rafael Tolói
92′
🟨 Isak Hien
92′
🟨 Juan Cuadrado
2–1 G. Nilsson ⚽
94′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Club Brugge

4-2-3-1
22 S. Mignolet G
65 J. Seys D
4 J. Ordoñez D
44 B. Mechele D
55 M. De Cuyper D
15 R. Onyedika M
30 A. Jashari M
68 C. Talbi M
20 H. Vanaken M
8 C. Tzolis M
9 Ferran Jutglà F
Bench (9)
19 G. Nilsson
10 H. Vetlesen
41 H. Siquet
64 K. Sabbe
17 R. Vermant
27 C. Nielsen
58 J. Spileers
29 N. Jackers
2 Z. Romero

Coach: N. Hayen

Atalanta

3-4-1-2
28 Rui Patrício G
19 B. Djimsiti D
4 I. Hien D
5 S. Posch D
16 R. Bellanova M
13 Éderson M
15 M. de Roon M
77 D. Zappacosta M
8 M. Pašalić F
17 C. De Ketelaere F
32 M. Retegui F
Bench (11)
24 L. Samardžić
7 J. Cuadrado
44 M. Brescianini
2 R. Tolói
27 M. Palestra
25 F. Cassa
6 I. Sulemana
29 M. Carnesecchi
49 T. Del Lungo
48 V. Vlahović
31 F. Rossi

Coach: G. Gasperini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

H Meler · 115 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.