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Champions League
Referee: H Meler
Young Boys
T S U T U
0–1
Full-time
FK Crvena Zvezda
T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Young Boys FK Crvena Zvezda
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,3
5,2
Scored
0,7
1,8
Conceded
1,7
3,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 22%
22%
22%
Points per game
0,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 78%
67%
89%
Both score Ø 61%
44%
78%
Average goals
3,6
4,3
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
2,8
2,7
Goal diff per game
-2,0
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,39 xG 1,77
41% Possession 59%
8 Shots 18
3 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 10
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 10
2 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

28. Nov -23 Young Boys – FK Crvena Zvezda 2–0 4. Oct -23 FK Crvena Zvezda – Young Boys 2–2

Match report

Young Boys FK Crvena Zvezda
Half-time 0–0
A. Virginius 🔁
↦ D. Males
46′
M. Elia 🔁
↦ K. Imeri
61′
C. Itten 🔁
↦ S. Ganvoula
61′
65′
🔁 G. Kanga
↦ A. Maksimović
L. Benito 🔁
↦ M. Camara
67′
69′
⚽ G. Kanga 0–1
Seol Young-Woo
M. Chaiwa 🔁
↦ Ł. Łakomy
77′
Miguel Changa Chaiwa 🟨
82′
83′
🔁 Bruno Duarte
↦ C. Ndiaye
83′
🔁 L. Ilić
↦ S. Katompa Mvumpa
94′
🟨 Ivan Guteša
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Young Boys

4-3-1-2
33 M. Keller G
27 L. Blum D
13 M. Camara D
4 T. Zoukrou D
24 Z. Athekame D
39 D. Males M
30 S. Lauper M
8 Ł. Łakomy M
10 K. Imeri M
77 J. Monteiro F
35 S. Ganvoula F
Bench (11)
21 A. Virginius
15 M. Elia
9 C. Itten
23 L. Benito
14 M. Chaiwa
11 E. Colley
3 J. Hadjam
26 D. von Ballmoos
6 P. Pfeiffer
66 R. Smith
40 D. Marzino

Coach: G. Contini

FK Crvena Zvezda

4-2-3-1
77 I. Guteša G
70 O. Mimović D
24 N. Djiga D
33 V. Drkušić D
66 Seol Young-Woo D
21 T. Elšnik M
6 R. Krunić M
15 S. Katompa Mvumpa M
55 A. Maksimović M
4 M. Ivanić M
9 C. Ndiaye F
Bench (11)
8 G. Kanga
17 Bruno Duarte
32 L. Ilić
7 J. Šljivić
27 Milson
10 A. Katai
28 V. Draškić
44 V. Milosavljević
91 L. Jovanović
18 O. Glazer
23 M. Rodić

Coach: V. Milojević

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

H Meler · 115 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.