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Conference League
Referee: L Fähndrich
Larne
T T S T T
3–1
Full-time
Lincoln Red Imps FC
T T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Larne Lincoln Red Imps FC
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
0,5
0,7
Conceded
2,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,8
-1,3
This season — Conference League · 3/1 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
1,7
3,0
Scored
0,7
2,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Recent head-to-head meetings

22. Aug -24 Lincoln Red Imps FC – Larne 2–1

Match report

Larne Lincoln Red Imps FC
20′
⚽ B. Lopes 0–1
1–1 A. Ryan ⚽
30′
Chris Gallagher 🟨
39′
2–1 A. Ryan ⚽
43′
Half-time 2–1
J. McEneff 🔁
↦ C. Bolger
46′
Jordan McEneff 🟨
52′
56′
🔁 M. Yahaya
↦ G. Torrilla
Chris Gallagher 🟨
59′
Chris Gallagher 🟥
59′
Levi Ives 🟨
66′
B. Magee 🔁
↦ M. Lusty
78′
81′
🔁 Víctor Villacañas
↦ Toni García
3–1 A. Ryan ⚽
83′
86′
🔁 L. Casciaro
↦ I. Ayew
Rohan Ferguson 🟨
92′
O. Devlin 🔁
↦ A. Ryan
92′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Larne

4-3-3
1 R. Ferguson G
23 T. Cosgrove D
2 S. Want D
18 C. Bolger D
3 L. Ives M
25 D. Sloan M
6 J. Thomson M
27 C. Gallagher M
30 M. Lusty M
29 A. Ryan F
11 S. Graham M
Bench (8)
16 J. McEneff
14 B. Magee
34 O. Devlin
7 C. McKendry
8 M. Randall
36 D. Graham
22 M. Glynn
9 P. O'Neill

Coach: T. Lynch

Lincoln Red Imps FC

4-3-3
1 Nauzet García G
21 Nano M
15 Rafael Muñoz D
22 G. Torrilla M
5 I. Ayew D
20 E. Britto D
6 B. Lopes D
23 Joe M
9 K. Gómez F
18 Toni García F
10 T. De Barr F
Bench (12)
8 M. Yahaya
70 Víctor Villacañas
7 L. Casciaro
4 N. Pozo
11 J. Valarino
25 R. Smith
19 K. Clinton
13 Víctor López
31 J. Sciortino
17 Pedro Martín
33 D. Burnet
26 D. Bent

Coach: Javi Muñoz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

L Fähndrich · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.