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Europa League
Referee: R Petrescu
Olympiakos
S S S S U
3–0
Full-time
Qarabag
T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Olympiakos Qarabag
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,7
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,3
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
0,7
2,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 29%
43%
14%
Points per game
1,7
0,4
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
14%
86%
Both score Ø 36%
14%
57%
Average goals
1,3
3,3
Scored
0,9
0,9
Conceded
0,4
2,4
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-1,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

3,80 xG 0,17
44% Possession 56%
23 Shots 3
9 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
7 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

13. Oct -22 Qarabag – Olympiakos 0–0 6. Oct -22 Olympiakos – Qarabag 0–3

Match report

Olympiakos Qarabag
-5′
🟨 Marko Vešović
16′
🟨 Kevin Medina
41′
🟨 Júlio Romão
Half-time 1–0
1–0 A. El Kaabi ⚽
C. Kostoulas
56′
2–0 A. El Kaabi ⚽
Dani García
60′
61′
🟨 Abdellah Zoubir
C. Mouzakitis 🔁
↦ Dani García
69′
F. Ortega 🔁
↦ David Carmo
70′
Chiquinho 🔁
↦ K. Velde
70′
72′
🔁 O. Kashchuk
↦ Leandro Andrade
72′
🔁 M. Qurbanlı
↦ N. Axundzadə
72′
🔁 T. Bayramov
↦ E. Cəfərquliyev
R. Yaremchuk 🔁
↦ A. El Kaabi
77′
79′
🔁 M. Vešović
↦ Matheus Silva
79′
🔁 E. Addai
↦ A. Zoubir
83′
🟨 Emmanuel Addai
Rodinei 🔁
↦ Costinha
86′
3–0 G. Biancone ⚽
89′
93′
🟨 Musa Qurbanlı
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Olympiakos

4-2-3-1
88 K. Tzolakis G
20 Costinha D
4 G. Biancone D
16 David Carmo D
5 L. Pirola D
32 S. Hezze M
14 Dani García M
10 Gelson Martins M
84 C. Kostoulas M
11 K. Velde M
9 A. El Kaabi F
Bench (12)
96 C. Mouzakitis
3 F. Ortega
22 Chiquinho
17 R. Yaremchuk
23 Rodinei
1 A. Paschalakis
45 P. Retsos
65 A. Apostolopoulos
19 G. Masouras
99 A. Anagnostopoulos
27 Sérgio Oliveira
8 M. Stamenić

Coach: José Luis Mendilibar

Qarabag

4-2-3-1
99 M. Kochalski G
2 Matheus Silva D
13 B. Mustafazadə D
81 K. Medina D
44 E. Cəfərquliyev D
6 Júlio Romão M
8 M. Janković M
15 Leandro Andrade M
7 Y. Benzia M
10 A. Zoubir M
90 N. Axundzadə F
Bench (11)
21 O. Kashchuk
22 M. Qurbanlı
27 T. Bayramov
29 M. Vešović
11 E. Addai
66 Patrick Andrade
97 F. Buntić
55 B. Hüseynov
20 R. Almeyda
24 A. Isaev
30 A. Hüseynov

Coach: Q. Qurbanov

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

R Petrescu · 21 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.