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Champions League
Referee: A Colombo
Qarabag
T T T T S
1–0
Full-time
Shelbourne
T U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Qarabag Shelbourne
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,3
1,8
Scored
1,3
0,5
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 1/3 matches
Win Ø 67%
100%
33%
Points per game
3,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 17%
0%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
3,0
0,7
Conceded
0,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+3,0
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Recent head-to-head meetings

23. Jul -25 Shelbourne – Qarabag 0–3

Match report

Qarabag Shelbourne
0–1 J. Martin ⚽
own goal
44′
Half-time 0–1
62′
🔁 J. Lunney
↦ K. McInroy
62′
🔁 H. Wood
↦ J. Martin
62′
🔁 S. Boyd
↦ M. Odubeko
Kevin Medina 🟨
69′
71′
🔁 E. Caffrey
↦ J. Norris
S. Mmaee 🔁
↦ K. Medina
72′
Chriso 🔁
↦ A. Zoubir
72′
M. Qurbanly 🔁
↦ N. Akhundzade
72′
O. Kashchuk 🔁
↦ Kady Borges
80′
T. Bayramov 🔁
↦ E. Cafarquliyev
80′
80′
🔁 A. Coote
↦ E. Chapman
81′
🟨 Sean Boyd
87′
🟨 Kameron Ledwidge
90′
🟨 Alistair Coote
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Qarabag

4-2-3-1
99 M. Kochalski G
2 Matheus Silva D
13 B. Mustafazada D
81 K. Medina D
44 E. Cafarquliyev D
35 Pedro Bicalho M
20 Kady Borges M
15 Leandro Andrade M
11 E. Addai M
10 A. Zoubir
90 N. Akhundzade F
Bench (11)
1 S. Mahammadaliyev
97 F. Buntic
3 S. Mmaee
6 Chriso
8 M. Jankovic
21 O. Kashchuk
22 M. Qurbanly
27 T. Bayramov
30 A. Huseynov
32 H. Cabrayilzada
55 B. Huseynov

Coach: Qurban Qurbanov

Shelbourne

4-3-3
13 W. Speel G
24 L. Temple D
15 S. Bone D
18 J. Norris D
4 K. Ledwidge D
17 D. Kelly F
8 M. Coyle M
5 E. Chapman M
11 M. Odubeko F
23 K. McInroy
10 J. Martin F
Bench (11)
19 L. Healy
50 A. Topcu
2 S. Gannon
6 J. Lunney
7 H. Wood
9 S. Boyd
14 A. Coote
16 J. O'Sullivan
27 E. Caffrey
29 P. Barrett
44 D. Ring

Coach: Joey O'Brien

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Colombo · 84 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.