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Champions League
Referee: D Siebert
Juventus
T T T S S
1–1
Full-time
Sp Lisbon
U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Juventus Sp Lisbon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,8
3,0
Scored
0,8
2,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
4,3
3,7
Scored
2,0
2,3
Conceded
2,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,53 xG 0,21
50% Possession 50%
18 Shots 4
9 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 8
6 Corners 0
0 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Juventus Sp Lisbon
12′
M. Araujo 0–1
Trincao
Khéphren Thuram 🟨
24′
Andrea Cambiaso 🟨
27′
33′
🟨 Pedro Gonçalves
1–1 D. Vlahovic
K. Thuram
34′
Half-time 1–1
61′
🟨 Maximiliano Araújo
67′
🔁 G. Catamo
↦ G. Quenda
67′
🔁 E. Quaresma
↦ G. Vagiannidis
E. Zhegrova 🔁
↦ F. Conceicao
72′
F. Kostic 🔁
↦ K. Thuram
72′
72′
🔁 L. Suarez
↦ F. Ioannidis
73′
🟨 Morten Hjulmand
82′
🔁 H. Morita
↦ J. Simoes
82′
🔁 Alisson Santos
↦ P. Goncalves
V. Adzic 🔁
↦ D. Vlahovic
83′
F. Miretti 🔁
↦ M. Locatelli
83′
J. David 🔁
↦ K. Yildiz
87′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Juventus

3-4-2-1
16 M. Di Gregorio G
15 P. Kalulu D
4 F. Gatti D
8 T. Koopmeiners D
22 W. McKennie M
5 M. Locatelli M
19 K. Thuram M
27 A. Cambiaso M
7 F. Conceicao F
10 K. Yildiz F
9 D. Vlahovic F
Bench (11)
1 M. Perin
42 S. Scaglia
11 E. Zhegrova
17 V. Adzic
18 F. Kostic
20 L. Openda
21 F. Miretti
24 D. Rugani
25 Joao Mario
30 J. David
40 J. Rouhi

Coach: Luciano Spalletti

Sp Lisbon

4-2-3-1
1 R. Silva G
13 G. Vagiannidis D
26 O. Diomande D
25 G. Inacio D
20 M. Araujo D
42 M. Hjulmand M
52 J. Simoes M
7 G. Quenda M
17 Trincao M
8 P. Goncalves M
89 F. Ioannidis F
Bench (12)
12 J. Virginia
2 Matheus Reis
5 H. Morita
10 G. Catamo
14 G. Kochorashvili
27 Alisson Santos
28 R. Ribeiro
54 Bruno Ramos
70 S. Blopa
72 E. Quaresma
91 R. Mangas
97 L. Suarez

Coach: Rui Borges

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Siebert · 158 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.