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Europa League
Referee: H Meler
Juventus
S S S U T
1–0
Full-time
Sp Lisbon
S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Juventus Sp Lisbon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,2
Scored
1,7
2,2
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 50%
75%
25%
Points per game
2,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
25%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
25%
75%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
1,8
2,0
Conceded
0,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,86 xG 1,66
42% Possession 58%
9 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 9
3 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Juventus Sp Lisbon
20′
🟨 Gonçalo Inácio
Adrien Rabiot 🟨
24′
M. Perin 🔁
↦ W. Szczęsny
44′
Half-time 0–0
49′
🔁 O. Diomande
↦ J. St. Juste
N. Fagioli 🔁
↦ F. Kostić
62′
D. Vlahović 🔁
↦ A. Milik
62′
62′
🔁 Arthur Gomes
↦ Youssef Chermiti
62′
🔁 Matheus Reis
↦ Nuno Santos
Dušan Vlahović 🟨
66′
1–0 F. Gatti ⚽
73′
77′
🔁 Héctor Bellerín
↦ Ricardo Esgaio
77′
🔁 Dário Essugo
↦ M. Edwards
L. Paredes 🔁
↦ M. Locatelli
85′
P. Pogba 🔁
↦ Á. Di María
85′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Juventus

3-4-3
1 W. Szczęsny G
15 F. Gatti D
3 Bremer D
6 Danilo D
11 J. Cuadrado M
5 M. Locatelli M
25 A. Rabiot M
17 F. Kostić M
22 Á. Di María F
14 A. Milik F
7 F. Chiesa F
Bench (10)
36 M. Perin
44 N. Fagioli
9 D. Vlahović
32 L. Paredes
10 P. Pogba
18 M. Kean
19 L. Bonucci
24 D. Rugani
20 F. Miretti
23 C. Pinsoglio

Coach: M. Allegri

Sp Lisbon

3-4-3
1 Adán G
3 J. St. Juste D
4 S. Coates D
25 Gonçalo Inácio D
47 Ricardo Esgaio M
5 H. Morita M
28 Pote M
11 Nuno Santos M
10 M. Edwards F
79 Youssef Chermiti F
17 Trincão F
Bench (12)
26 O. Diomande
33 Arthur Gomes
2 Matheus Reis
19 Héctor Bellerín
84 Dário Essugo
22 André Paulo
6 S. Alexandropoulos
12 F. Israel
32 M. Tanlongo
16 Rochinha
18 I. Fatawu
13 Luís Carlos

Coach: Ruben Amorim

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

H Meler · 115 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.