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Champions League
Referee: S Vincic
Real Madrid
S T S S S
1–0
Full-time
Juventus
U U U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Real Madrid Juventus
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
83%
0%
Points per game
2,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
4,0
3,0
Scored
2,8
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,7
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
4,0
6,0
Scored
3,5
3,0
Conceded
0,5
3,0
Goal diff per game
+3,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,69 xG 0,59
66% Possession 34%
28 Shots 13
10 Shots on target 4
12 Blocked shots 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 8
13 Corners 7
1 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Real Madrid Juventus
Half-time 1–0
1–0 J. Bellingham ⚽
Vinicius Junior
57′
Brahim Díaz 🟨
61′
62′
🔁 F. Conceicao
↦ K. Thuram
E. Camavinga 🔁
↦ A. Guler
74′
74′
🔁 M. Locatelli
↦ T. Koopmeiners
74′
🔁 L. Openda
↦ K. Yildiz
74′
🔁 J. David
↦ D. Vlahovic
F. Garcia 🔁
↦ Vinicius Junior
84′
F. Mastantuono 🔁
↦ B. Diaz
84′
G. Garcia 🔁
↦ R. Asencio
88′
88′
🔁 F. Kostic
↦ A. Cambiaso
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Real Madrid

4-3-3
1 T. Courtois G
8 F. Valverde D
17 R. Asencio D
3 Eder Militao D
18 A. Carreras D
5 J. Bellingham M
14 A. Tchouameni M
15 A. Guler M
21 B. Diaz F
10 K. Mbappe F
7 Vinicius Junior F
Bench (10)
13 A. Lunin
26 Fran
6 E. Camavinga
9 Endrick
11 Rodrygo
16 G. Garcia
20 F. Garcia
23 F. Mendy
30 F. Mastantuono
45 T. Pitarch

Coach: Alvaro Arbeloa

Juventus

3-4-2-1
16 M. Di Gregorio G
4 F. Gatti D
24 D. Rugani D
6 L. Kelly D
15 P. Kalulu M
8 T. Koopmeiners M
19 K. Thuram M
27 A. Cambiaso M
22 W. McKennie F
10 K. Yildiz F
9 D. Vlahovic F
Bench (11)
1 M. Perin
43 M. Fuscaldo
5 M. Locatelli
7 F. Conceicao
11 E. Zhegrova
17 V. Adzic
18 F. Kostic
20 L. Openda
21 F. Miretti
25 Joao Mario
30 J. David

Coach: Luciano Spalletti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Vincic · 42 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.