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Taça de Portugal

Pacos Ferreira

T T S T S

2–3

Full-time

Sp Lisbon

S S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pacos Ferreira Sp Lisbon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,5

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,5

2,8

Scored

1,2

2,0

Conceded

1,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Espinho	3	2	1	0	+5	7
2	Alpendorada	2	2	0	0	+8	6
3	Lusitano Évora 1911	2	2	0	0	+7	6
4	CD Olivais e Moscavide	2	2	0	0	+7	6
5	Caldas	2	2	0	0	+7	6
6	Vila Meã	2	2	0	0	+6	6
7	Farense	2	2	0	0	+5	6
8	Vianense	2	2	0	0	+4	6
9	Academico Viseu	2	2	0	0	+4	6
10	Comércio Indústria	2	2	0	0	+3	6
11	Vila Real	2	2	0	0	+3	6
12	Amarante	2	2	0	0	+3	6
13	CF Os Belenenses	2	2	0	0	+3	6
14	1º Dezembro	2	2	0	0	+2	6
15	Vila Caíz	2	2	0	0	+2	6
16	AD Marco 09	3	2	0	1	-1	6
17	Celoricense	3	2	0	1	-2	6
18	Ovarense	2	1	1	0	+6	4
19	Marinhense	2	1	1	0	+6	4
20	Moncarapachense	2	1	1	0	+3	4
21	União de Leiria	2	1	1	0	+2	4
22	Gouveia	2	1	1	0	+2	4
23	Torreense	2	1	1	0	+2	4
24	Oliveirense	2	1	1	0	+2	4
25	SC Covilha	2	1	1	0	+1	4
26	Anadia	2	1	1	0	+1	4
27	Mortágua	2	1	1	0	+1	4
28	Os Marialvas	2	1	1	0	+1	4
29	Peniche	2	1	0	1	+7	3
30	AVS	1	1	0	0	+7	3
31	Benfica Castelo Branco	1	1	0	0	+6	3
32	Sacavenense	2	1	0	1	+5	3
33	Atlético Malveira	2	1	0	1	+5	3
34	Lusitânia Lourosa	1	1	0	0	+5	3
35	Louletano	1	1	0	0	+5	3
36	Bragança	2	1	0	1	+4	3
37	Felgueiras 1932	1	1	0	0	+4	3
38	Porto	1	1	0	0	+4	3
39	Trofense	2	1	0	1	+3	3
40	Famalicao	1	1	0	0	+3	3
41	O Elvas	2	1	0	1	+2	3
42	Nacional	1	1	0	0	+2	3
43	FC Serpa	2	1	0	1	+2	3
44	Naval 1893	2	1	0	1	+2	3
45	Ançã	1	1	0	0	+2	3
46	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+2	3
47	São João Ver	2	1	0	1	+1	3
48	Silves	1	1	0	0	+1	3
49	Arouca	1	1	0	0	+1	3
50	Rebordosa	2	1	0	1	+1	3
51	Sintrense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
52	Mirandela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
53	União Lamas	1	1	0	0	+1	3
54	Sp Braga	1	1	0	0	+1	3
55	Resende	1	1	0	0	+1	3
56	Fafe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
57	Atlético CP	1	1	0	0	+1	3
58	Leixoes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
59	Pacos Ferreira	1	1	0	0	+1	3
60	Salgueiros	2	1	0	1	+0	3
61	Portimonense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
62	Correlhã	2	1	0	1	+0	3
63	Chaves	2	1	0	1	+0	3
64	Oriental Lisboa	2	1	0	1	+0	3
65	Uniao Nogueirense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
66	Nazarenos	2	1	0	1	+0	3
67	Monção	2	1	0	1	-1	3
68	Machico	2	1	0	1	-1	3
69	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	2	1	0	1	-3	3
70	Brito	2	1	0	1	-4	3
71	Castrense	2	1	0	1	-4	3
72	AD Fornos Algodres	2	1	0	1	-5	3
73	Alverca	1	0	1	0	+0	1
74	Samora Correir	1	0	1	0	+0	1
75	Portimonense B	1	0	1	0	+0	1
76	Penafiel	1	0	1	0	+0	1
77	Olímpico do Montijo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
78	Santa Clara	1	0	1	0	+0	1
79	Rebordelo	2	0	1	1	-2	1
80	Charneca Caparica	2	0	1	1	-2	1
81	Oliveira Hospital	1	0	0	1	-1	0
82	Eléctrico	1	0	0	1	-1	0
83	Camacha	1	0	0	1	-1	0
84	Gil Vicente	1	0	0	1	-1	0
85	Maria da Fonte	1	0	0	1	-1	0
86	Alcochetense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
87	Vizela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
88	Fazendense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
89	Tirsense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
90	Lagoa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
91	AR São Martinho	1	0	0	1	-1	0
92	Castro Daire	1	0	0	1	-1	0
93	Vitória de Sernache	1	0	0	1	-1	0
94	Carregal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
95	Academica	1	0	0	1	-1	0
96	Juventude Évora	1	0	0	1	-1	0
97	Feirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
98	Vilaverdense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
99	Quarteirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
100	Amora	1	0	0	1	-1	0
101	Ribeira Brava	1	0	0	1	-1	0
102	Florgrade	1	0	0	1	-1	0
103	Cinfães	1	0	0	1	-1	0
104	Mafra	1	0	0	1	-1	0
105	Celeirós	1	0	0	1	-1	0
106	Sourense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
107	Águias do Moradal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
108	Pontassolense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
109	Beira-Mar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
110	Estrela	1	0	0	1	-2	0
111	Aparecida GO	1	0	0	1	-2	0
112	Vinhais	1	0	0	1	-2	0
113	Leça	1	0	0	1	-2	0
114	União Santarém	1	0	0	1	-2	0
115	Paredes	1	0	0	1	-2	0
116	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
117	UD da Serra	1	0	0	1	-2	0
118	Valpaços	1	0	0	1	-2	0
119	Vidago	1	0	0	1	-2	0
120	Valenciano	1	0	0	1	-3	0
121	Lusitânia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
122	Viana Alentejo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
123	Portel	1	0	0	1	-3	0
124	Fátima	1	0	0	1	-3	0
125	Académico do Fundão	1	0	0	1	-3	0
126	Portalegrense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
127	Varzim	1	0	0	1	-4	0
128	Almodôvar	1	0	0	1	-4	0
129	Sanjoanense	1	0	0	1	-4	0
130	AD Portomosense	1	0	0	1	-4	0
131	Os Limianos	1	0	0	1	-4	0
132	Operário	1	0	0	1	-5	0
133	Fayal	1	0	0	1	-5	0
134	Angrense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
135	Estrela Calheta	1	0	0	1	-6	0
136	SC Celoricense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
137	Mosteirense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
138	Urzelinense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
139	Lajense	2	0	0	2	-7	0
140	Rabo Peixe	1	0	0	1	-7	0
141	Ferreira Zêzere	1	0	0	1	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Alpendorada	2	2	0	0	+8	6
2	Caldas	2	2	0	0	+7	6
3	Comércio Indústria	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	CF Os Belenenses	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Vila Caíz	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Celoricense	3	2	0	1	-2	6
7	Ovarense	2	1	1	0	+6	4
8	Marinhense	2	1	1	0	+6	4
9	Espinho	2	1	1	0	+4	4
10	Moncarapachense	2	1	1	0	+3	4
11	Peniche	2	1	0	1	+7	3
12	Benfica Castelo Branco	1	1	0	0	+6	3
13	Sacavenense	2	1	0	1	+5	3
14	Louletano	1	1	0	0	+5	3
15	Bragança	2	1	0	1	+4	3
16	Trofense	2	1	0	1	+3	3
17	FC Serpa	1	1	0	0	+3	3
18	Salgueiros	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Gouveia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Naval 1893	2	1	0	1	+2	3
21	Ançã	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Rebordosa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Amarante	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	CD Olivais e Moscavide	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	São João Ver	2	1	0	1	+1	3
26	Silves	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Vila Real	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Academico Viseu	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Sintrense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	União Lamas	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Resende	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Lusitano Évora 1911	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Atlético CP	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	SC Covilha	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Uniao Nogueirense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Correlhã	2	1	0	1	+0	3
38	Oriental Lisboa	2	1	0	1	+0	3
39	Nazarenos	2	1	0	1	+0	3
40	AD Marco 09	2	1	0	1	-2	3
41	Castrense	2	1	0	1	-4	3
42	AD Fornos Algodres	2	1	0	1	-5	3
43	União de Leiria	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	Torreense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Portimonense B	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Mortágua	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Charneca Caparica	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Rebordelo	2	0	1	1	-2	1
49	Portimonense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Maria da Fonte	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Fazendense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Tirsense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	AR São Martinho	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Castro Daire	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Vitória de Sernache	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Carregal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Academica	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Vilaverdense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Florgrade	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Cinfães	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Monção	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Aparecida GO	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Chaves	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	Paredes	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	Machico	1	0	0	1	-2	0
66	Vidago	1	0	0	1	-2	0
67	Valenciano	1	0	0	1	-3	0
68	Lusitânia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
69	Portalegrense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
70	Sanjoanense	1	0	0	1	-4	0
71	Os Limianos	1	0	0	1	-4	0
72	Fayal	1	0	0	1	-5	0
73	Urzelinense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
74	Lajense	2	0	0	2	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vila Meã	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Farense	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Vianense	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	1º Dezembro	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Oliveirense	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Anadia	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Os Marialvas	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	AVS	1	1	0	0	+7	3
9	Lusitano Évora 1911	1	1	0	0	+6	3
10	Atlético Malveira	2	1	0	1	+5	3
11	Lusitânia Lourosa	1	1	0	0	+5	3
12	CD Olivais e Moscavide	1	1	0	0	+5	3
13	Felgueiras 1932	1	1	0	0	+4	3
14	Porto	1	1	0	0	+4	3
15	Famalicao	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	Academico Viseu	1	1	0	0	+3	3
17	União de Leiria	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	O Elvas	2	1	0	1	+2	3
19	Nacional	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Torreense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Chaves	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Vila Real	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Arouca	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Mirandela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Amarante	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Machico	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Portimonense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Mortágua	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Sp Braga	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Fafe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Monção	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Espinho	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	AD Marco 09	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Leixoes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Pacos Ferreira	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Brito	2	1	0	1	-4	3
38	Alverca	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	Gouveia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
40	SC Covilha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
41	Samora Correir	1	0	1	0	+0	1
42	Penafiel	1	0	1	0	+0	1
43	Olímpico do Montijo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	Santa Clara	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Oliveira Hospital	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Eléctrico	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Camacha	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Gil Vicente	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Alcochetense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Vizela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Lagoa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Juventude Évora	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Feirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	FC Serpa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Quarteirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Amora	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Rebordosa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Ribeira Brava	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Uniao Nogueirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Mafra	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Celeirós	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Sourense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Águias do Moradal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Pontassolense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	Salgueiros	1	0	0	1	-2	0
66	Beira-Mar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
67	Estrela	1	0	0	1	-2	0
68	Charneca Caparica	1	0	0	1	-2	0
69	Vinhais	1	0	0	1	-2	0
70	Leça	1	0	0	1	-2	0
71	União Santarém	1	0	0	1	-2	0
72	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
73	UD da Serra	1	0	0	1	-2	0
74	Valpaços	1	0	0	1	-2	0
75	Viana Alentejo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
76	Portel	1	0	0	1	-3	0
77	Fátima	1	0	0	1	-3	0
78	Académico do Fundão	1	0	0	1	-3	0
79	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	1	0	0	1	-4	0
80	Varzim	1	0	0	1	-4	0
81	Almodôvar	1	0	0	1	-4	0
82	AD Portomosense	1	0	0	1	-4	0
83	Operário	1	0	0	1	-5	0
84	Angrense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
85	Estrela Calheta	1	0	0	1	-6	0
86	SC Celoricense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
87	Mosteirense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
88	Rabo Peixe	1	0	0	1	-7	0
89	Ferreira Zêzere	1	0	0	1	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.