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Champions League
Referee: J Pinheiro
Man City
S S S S T
0–2
Full-time
Leverkusen
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Man City Leverkusen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
67%
83%
Points per game
2,0
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,3
3,7
Scored
2,3
2,7
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 50%
75%
25%
Points per game
2,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 63%
50%
75%
Average goals
3,3
4,0
Scored
2,5
1,5
Conceded
0,8
2,5
Goal diff per game
+1,8
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,78 xG 0,51
55% Possession 45%
19 Shots 7
7 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 9
9 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
4 Free kicks against 8
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Man City Leverkusen
23′
⚽ A. Grimaldo 0–1
C. Kofane
Half-time 0–1
J. Doku 🔁
↦ O. Bobb
46′
N. O'Reilly 🔁
↦ R. Ait-Nouri
46′
P. Foden 🔁
↦ R. Lewis
46′
54′
⚽ P. Schick 0–2
I. Maza
60′
🟨 Alejandro Grimaldo
E. Haaland 🔁
↦ O. Marmoush
65′
R. Cherki 🔁
↦ A. Khusanov
65′
77′
🟨 Christian Kofane
82′
🔁 N. Tella
↦ C. Kofane
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Man City

4-3-3
1 J. Trafford G
45 A. Khusanov D
5 J. Stones D
6 N. Ake D
21 R. Ait-Nouri D
82 R. Lewis M
14 Nico M
4 T. Reijnders M
52 O. Bobb F
7 O. Marmoush F
26 Savinho F
Bench (11)
13 M. Bettinelli
25 G. Donnarumma
3 R. Dias
9 E. Haaland
10 R. Cherki
11 J. Doku
20 B. Silva
24 J. Gvardiol
27 M. Nunes
33 N. O'Reilly
47 P. Foden

Coach: Pep Guardiola

Leverkusen

5-3-2
1 M. Flekken G
19 E. Poku D
4 J. Quansah D
5 L. Bade D
44 J. Belocian D
20 A. Grimaldo D
30 I. Maza M
24 A. Garcia M
10 M. Tillman M
14 P. Schick F
35 C. Kofane F
Bench (10)
36 N. Lomb
40 J. Schlich
9 C. Echeverri
17 E. Ben Seghir
23 N. Tella
27 J. Mensah
42 M. Culbreath
43 B. Hawighorst
45 N. Mensah
46 F. Pohl

Coach: Kasper Hjulmand

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Pinheiro · 22 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.