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Champions League
Referee: M Mariani
Olympiakos
S U U U S
2–0
Full-time
Leverkusen
U S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Olympiakos Leverkusen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,3
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
0,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,7
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
2,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,13 xG 2,58
28% Possession 72%
6 Shots 17
2 Shots on target 6
0 Blocked shots 6
6 Goalkeeper saves 0
2 Corners 8
1 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Olympiakos Leverkusen
1–0 Costinha ⚽
Rodinei
2′
Panagiotis Retsos 🟨
5′
28′
🟨 Christian Kofane
2–0 M. Taremi ⚽
Rodinei
45′
Half-time 2–0
58′
🔁 M. Tillman
↦ Lucas
70′
🔁 Arthur
↦ I. Maza
70′
🔁 P. Schick
↦ C. Kofane
Mehdi Taremi 🟨
73′
G. Biancone 🔁
↦ L. Pirola
74′
A. El Kaabi 🔁
↦ M. Taremi
74′
D. Garcia 🔁
↦ C. Mouzakitis
74′
B. Onyemaechi 🔁
↦ G. Martins
79′
81′
🔁 M. Culbreath
↦ E. Poku
L. Scipioni 🔁
↦ Chiquinho
82′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Olympiakos

4-2-3-1
88 K. Tzolakis G
20 Costinha D
45 P. Retsos D
5 L. Pirola D
3 F. Ortega D
32 S. Hezze M
96 C. Mouzakitis M
23 Rodinei M
22 Chiquinho M
10 G. Martins M
99 M. Taremi F
Bench (11)
31 N. Botis
4 G. Biancone
6 A. Kalogeropoulos
8 D. Nascimento
9 A. El Kaabi
11 R. Yaremchuk
14 D. Garcia
16 L. Scipioni
27 G. Strefezza
56 D. Podence
70 B. Onyemaechi

Coach: Luis Mendilibar Jose

Leverkusen

3-4-2-1
28 J. Blaswich G
4 J. Quansah D
8 R. Andrich D
5 L. Bade D
21 Lucas M
6 E. Fernandez M
24 A. Garcia M
20 A. Grimaldo M
30 I. Maza F
19 E. Poku F
35 C. Kofane F
Bench (8)
40 J. Schlich
36 N. Lomb
10 M. Tillman
13 Arthur
14 P. Schick
16 A. Tape
42 M. Culbreath
44 J. Belocian

Coach: Kasper Hjulmand

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Mariani · 156 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.