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Super League
Referee: S Jablonski
0–0
Full-time
Olympiakos
T S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aris Thessalonikis Olympiakos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 13/15 matches
Win Ø 56%
31%
80%
Points per game
1,2
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
38%
53%
Both score Ø 47%
54%
40%
Average goals
2,2
2,7
Scored
0,9
2,1
Conceded
1,2
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

42% Possession 58%
12 Shots 15
0 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 5
3 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 12
4 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Aris Thessalonikis 10. · Olympiakos 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 15 12 2 1 +24 38
2 AEK 15 12 1 2 +15 37
3 PAOK 15 11 2 2 +19 35
4 Levadeiakos 15 7 5 3 +17 26
5 Volos NFC 14 7 1 6 -2 22
6 Panathinaikos 13 5 5 3 +5 20
7 Panetolikos 15 5 3 7 -7 18
8 Kifisia 15 4 5 6 -2 17
9 Aris 14 4 5 5 -4 17
10 Aris Thessalonikis 13 4 4 5 -4 16
11 OFI Crete 14 5 0 9 -8 15
12 Asteras Tripolis 15 2 8 5 -3 14
13 Atromitos 15 3 3 9 -7 12
14 Larisa 15 1 5 9 -15 8
15 Panserraikos 15 1 3 11 -28 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aris Thessalonikis Olympiakos
19′
🟨 Dani García
29′
🟨 Christos Mouzakitis
Half-time 0–0
Konstantinos Galanopoulos 🟨
48′
51′
🟨 Dani García
51′
🟥 Dani García
Noah Fadiga ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
60′
Noah Fadiga 🟥
61′
M. Frydek 🔁
↦ Dudu
64′
Monchu 🔁
↦ K. Galanopoulos
64′
64′
🔁 S. Hezze
↦ G. Strefezza
64′
🔁 Chiquinho
↦ G. Martins
Martin Frýdek 🟨
68′
69′
🔁 F. Ortega
↦ B. Onyemaechi
Loren Morón 🟨
81′
O. Morutan 🔁
↦ C. Perez
85′
86′
🔁 D. Podence
↦ Costinha
86′
🔁 R. Yaremchuk
↦ A. El Kaabi
Giorgos Athanasiadis 🟨
89′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Aris Thessalonikis

4-2-3-1
33 G. Athanasiadis G
15 A. Tejero D
24 P. Alvaro D
92 L. Rose D
27 N. Fadiga D
6 K. Galanopoulos M
10 U. Racic M
7 C. Perez M
97 F. Jensen M
28 Dudu M
80 L. Moron F
Bench (11)
21 L. Majkic
91 E. Karaj
25 M. Gning
18 O. Morutan
17 M. Frydek
8 Monchu
40 P. Sisto
26 G. Misehouy
77 M. Panagidis
70 G. Gianniotas
41 K. Charoupas

Coach: Michalis Grigoriou

Olympiakos

4-2-3-1
88 K. Tzolakis G
20 Costinha D
6 A. Kalogeropoulos D
5 L. Pirola D
70 B. Onyemaechi D
14 D. Garcia M
96 C. Mouzakitis M
10 G. Martins M
99 M. Taremi M
27 G. Strefezza M
9 A. El Kaabi F
Bench (12)
31 N. Botis
21 R. Vezo
3 F. Ortega
39 Gustavo Mancha
90 R. Cabella
32 S. Hezze
22 Chiquinho
8 D. Nascimento
16 L. Scipioni
56 D. Podence
11 R. Yaremchuk
97 Y. Yazici

Coach: Luis Mendilibar Jose

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Jablonski · 136 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.